La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Villarreal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Betis
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 |
Osasuna
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 7 |
Mallorca
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Almeria
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 10 |
Vallecano
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 |
Ath Madrid
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 3 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 |
Getafe
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David Soria
G
Juan Iglesias
D
D. Dakonam
D
Carles Aleñá
M
Portu
M
E. Ünal
F
Borja Mayoral
F
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
G. Rulli
G
J. Foyth
D
Pau Torres
D
Pedraza
D
Yeremi Pino
M
G. Lo Celso
M
Gerard Moreno
F
Coach: Unai Emery
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Girona
Getafe
Getafe
Ath Madrid
Elche
Getafe
Getafe
Barcelona
Osasuna
Getafe
Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.