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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Villarreal

U S S U U

0–0

Full-time

Elche

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 11/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

45%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

45%

33%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Elche 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Sociedad	11	7	3	1	+17	24
3	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+5	20
4	Villarreal	11	5	5	1	+4	20
5	Cadiz	12	5	3	4	-2	18
6	Sevilla	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Granada	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Betis	12	5	0	7	-9	15
9	Barcelona	10	4	2	4	+9	14
10	Ath Bilbao	11	4	1	6	+0	13
11	Elche	9	3	4	2	-1	13
12	Eibar	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Getafe	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Celta	12	3	4	5	-7	13
16	Valencia	11	3	3	5	+0	12
17	Levante	11	2	5	4	-2	11
18	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
19	Valladolid	12	2	4	6	-7	10
20	Huesca	12	0	8	4	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Villarreal	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+7	11
4	Granada	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+9	10
6	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Valencia	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Levante	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Betis	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Elche	5	1	3	1	-2	6
17	Celta	5	2	0	3	-5	6
18	Cadiz	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-3	3
20	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+3	14
2	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Cadiz	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Betis	7	3	0	4	-7	9
7	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Elche	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Celta	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Levante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Huesca	7	0	5	2	-6	5
14	Barcelona	5	1	1	3	+0	4
15	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Osasuna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Granada	5	1	1	3	-8	4
20	Getafe	5	0	3	2	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.