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Conference League
Referee: A Treimanis
0–2
Full-time
Villarreal
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Hajduk Split Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,7
6,0
Scored
1,7
4,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Hajduk Split Villarreal
Dino Mikanović 🟨
19′
21′
🟨 Francis Coquelin
37′
Pedraza 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ F. Coquelin
56′
S. Chukwueze 0–2
58′
🔁 Gerard Moreno
↦ N. Jackson
59′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ G. Lo Celso
J. Mlakar 🔁
↦ E. Sahiti
60′
G. Lovrencsics 🔁
↦ D. Mikanović
60′
J. Vuković 🔁
↦ M. Fossati
66′
77′
🟨 Gerard Moreno
D. Čolina 🔁
↦ D. Melnjak
79′
S. Simič 🔁
↦ J. Elez
79′
80′
🔁 J. Foyth
↦ Kiko Femenía
80′
🔁 Pau Torres
↦ Pedraza
89′
🟨 Jorge Cuenca
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
91 L. Kalinić G
24 D. Mikanović D
25 C. Awaziem D
19 J. Elez D
17 D. Melnjak D
14 L. Grgic M
6 M. Fossati M
77 E. Sahiti M
23 F. Krovinović M
27 S. Biuk M
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (12)
29 J. Mlakar
26 G. Lovrencsics
4 J. Vuković
3 D. Čolina
8 S. Simič
9 N. Kalinić
30 K. Sentić
1 D. Subašić
20 J. Atanasov
15 K. Dimitrov
5 T. Borevković
88 I. Ćubelić

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
2 Kiko Femenía D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
24 Pedraza D
11 S. Chukwueze M
19 F. Coquelin M
10 Dani Parejo M
30 Álex Baena M
17 G. Lo Celso F
26 N. Jackson F
Bench (12)
6 É. Capoue
7 Gerard Moreno
22 José Luis Morales
8 J. Foyth
4 Pau Torres
3 Raúl Albiol
20 Manu Morlanes
13 G. Rulli
34 Fer Niño
21 Yeremi Pino
35 F. Jörgensen
36 Dani Tasende

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.