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La Liga
Referee: Juan Pulido
Sevilla
U U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Valladolid
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 14. · Valladolid 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Betis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Mallorca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Girona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Valladolid
Marcos Acuña 🟥
-5′
-5′
🟥 Jawad El Yamiq
23′
🔁 Joaquín Fernández
↦ J. El Yamiq
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Olaza
↦ Escudero
Y. En-Nesyri 🔁
↦ Rafa Mir
63′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ Joan Jordán
63′
67′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Iván Sánchez
67′
🔁 Monchu
↦ Sergi Guardiola
67′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ Roque Mesa
Gonzalo Montiel 🟨
68′
Isco 🔁
↦ P. Gómez
68′
Alex Telles 🔁
↦ M. Acuña
78′
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
79′
80′
A. Tuhami 0–1
Sergio León
83′
🟨 Luis Pérez
1–1 K. Rekik
86′
Lucas Ocampos 🟨
87′
94′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
Isco 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
2 G. Montiel D
14 T. Nianzou D
4 K. Rekik D
19 M. Acuña D
8 Joan Jordán M
20 Fernando M
21 Óliver Torres M
17 E. Lamela F
12 Rafa Mir F
24 P. Gómez F
Bench (12)
15 Y. En-Nesyri
5 L. Ocampos
22 Isco
3 Alex Telles
10 I. Rakitić
18 T. Delaney
30 José Ángel Carmona
11 M. El-Haddadi
1 M. Dmitrović
16 Navas
31 Alberto Flores
23 Marcão

Coach: Lopetegui

Valladolid

4-3-3
25 Asenjo G
2 Luis Pérez D
5 Javier Sánchez D
15 J. El Yamiq D
18 Escudero D
6 Álvaro Aguado M
17 Roque Mesa M
4 Kike Pérez M
21 Iván Sánchez F
16 Sergi Guardiola F
23 A. Tuhami F
Bench (12)
24 Joaquín Fernández
12 L. Olaza
7 Sergio León
8 Monchu
10 Óscar Plano
32 David Torres
19 Toni Villa
30 Roberto Arroyo
14 M. Malsa
1 Jordi Masip
27 Iván Fresneda
22 S. Gassama

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,17
B
6,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.