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Bundesliga

Referee: Florian Badstubner

RB Leipzig

T S S T T

5–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S U S T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

3,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%

19 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 12. · Hamburg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Freiburg	3	3	0	0	+9	+1.8	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.6	9
3	Augsburg	3	2	1	0	+6	+1.6	7
4	Elversberg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.3	4
6	Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.6	4
7	Mainz	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.5	4
8	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.4	4
9	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.8	4
10	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
11	FC Koln	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.1	4
12	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.9	3
13	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.1	3
14	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.3	3
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
16	Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.4	1
17	Hamburg	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.6	0
18	M'gladbach	3	0	0	3	-9	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+8	+1.8	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.6	6
3	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
4	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.3	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
7	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
8	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.9	3
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
14	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
15	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
18	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	4
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
3	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
8	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
12	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
14	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
15	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
16	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
17	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0
18	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-8	-2.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.