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Bundesliga

Referee: Deniz Aytekin

Hamburg

U U S S S

0–2

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%

9 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 14

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · RB Leipzig 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	M'gladbach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Augsburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Freiburg	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.