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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Dortmund
T T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,7
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Feb -22 Dortmund – Leverkusen 2–5 11. Sep -21 Leverkusen – Dortmund 3–4 22. May -21 Dortmund – Leverkusen 3–1 19. Jan -21 Leverkusen – Dortmund 2–1 8. Feb -20 Leverkusen – Dortmund 4–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
🔒
U
4,12
🔒
B
3,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,39
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,01
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.