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Bundesliga
Referee: Harm Osmers
Stuttgart
S S S S T
0–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,5
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 24
0 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 15. · Bayern Munich 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Dortmund 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 M'gladbach 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Augsburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Werder Bremen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Hannover 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Nurnberg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Freiburg 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Leverkusen 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
37′
L. Goretzka 0–1
T. Müller
Half-time 0–1
E. Thommy 🔁
↦ A. Donis
57′
62′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
L. Goretzka
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ C. Gentner
64′
76′
T. Müller 0–3
R. Lewandowski
77′
🔁 J. Rodríguez
↦ A. Robben
77′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ F. Ribéry
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ G. Castro
78′
80′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ T. Müller
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-1-4-1
1 R. Zieler G
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Aogo M
5 T. Baumgartl D
7 Pablo Maffeo M
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
8 G. Castro M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
11 A. Donis F
Bench (7)
17 E. Thommy
10 D. Didavi
19 C. Akolo
4 M. Kempf
13 J. Grahl
22 N. González
28 H. Badstuber

Coach: T. Korkut

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
32 J. Kimmich D
10 A. Robben M
7 F. Ribéry M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
18 L. Goretzka M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (7)
11 J. Rodríguez
22 S. Gnabry
24 C. Tolisso
4 N. Süle
8 Javi Martínez
13 Rafinha
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Harm Osmers · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.