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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Hertha
T S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 24%
27%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
63%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Stuttgart 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 24 3 4 +62 75
2 Dortmund 31 20 3 8 +31 63
3 Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 +28 55
4 RB Leipzig 31 16 6 9 +33 54
5 Freiburg 31 14 10 7 +15 52
6 Union Berlin 31 14 8 9 +2 50
7 FC Koln 31 13 10 8 +2 49
8 Hoffenheim 31 13 7 11 +5 46
9 Ein Frankfurt 31 10 10 11 -2 40
10 Mainz 31 11 6 14 +2 39
11 M'gladbach 31 10 8 13 -13 38
12 Wolfsburg 31 11 4 16 -12 37
13 Bochum 31 10 6 15 -15 36
14 Augsburg 31 9 8 14 -11 35
15 Hertha 30 8 5 17 -34 29
16 Stuttgart 30 6 10 14 -17 28
17 Bielefeld 31 5 11 15 -25 26
18 Greuther Furth 31 3 8 20 -51 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Stuttgart
1–0 D. Selke
M. Plattenhardt
4′
Davie Selke ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
5′
24′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ P. Stenzel
41′
🟨 Wataru Endo
Half-time 1–0
F. Bjørkan 🔁
↦ M. Plattenhardt
46′
Vladimír Darida 🟨
64′
I. Belfodil 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
64′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
64′
71′
🔁 A. Tibidi
↦ O. Mangala
N. Stark 🔁
↦ V. Darida
74′
J. Ekkelenkamp 🔁
↦ D. Selke
78′
87′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ Tiago Tomás
87′
🔁 E. Millot
↦ C. Führich
2–0 I. Belfodil
M. Mittelstädt
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
37 M. Lotka G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 D. Boyata D
20 M. Kempf D
27 K. Boateng M
6 V. Darida M
8 S. Serdar M
29 L. Tousart M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
7 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
3 F. Bjørkan
14 I. Belfodil
17 M. Mittelstädt
5 N. Stark
10 J. Ekkelenkamp
31 M. Dárdai
24 L. Wollschläger
46 A. Kade
32 O. Christensen

Coach: F. Magath

Stuttgart

4-3-3
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton M
15 P. Stenzel D
24 B. Sosa D
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
22 C. Führich F
9 S. Kalajdzic F
18 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
11 E. Thommy
50 A. Tibidi
7 T. Coulibaly
8 E. Millot
20 P. Förster
33 F. Bredlow
31 M. Klimowicz
43 L. Bazzoli
34 Ö. Beyaz

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,03
U
3,34
B
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.