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Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Mainz

T S U T T

0–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

21%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

55%

52%

Both score Ø 61%

55%

66%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 6

0 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 10. · Stuttgart 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	22	3	4	+57	69
2	Dortmund	29	19	3	7	+28	60
3	Leverkusen	29	15	7	7	+26	52
4	RB Leipzig	29	15	6	8	+33	51
5	Freiburg	29	13	9	7	+12	48
6	Hoffenheim	29	13	5	11	+5	44
7	Union Berlin	29	12	8	9	-1	44
8	FC Koln	29	11	10	8	-2	43
9	Ein Frankfurt	29	10	9	10	+0	39
10	Mainz	29	11	5	13	+7	38
11	M'gladbach	29	10	7	12	-11	37
12	Bochum	29	10	6	13	-10	36
13	Wolfsburg	29	10	4	15	-12	34
14	Augsburg	29	8	8	13	-12	32
15	Stuttgart	29	6	9	14	-17	27
16	Bielefeld	29	5	11	13	-20	26
17	Hertha	29	7	5	17	-35	26
18	Greuther Furth	29	3	7	19	-48	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	12	1	2	+31	37
2	Dortmund	14	11	0	3	+19	33
3	RB Leipzig	15	10	2	3	+23	32
4	Mainz	14	9	3	2	+20	30
5	FC Koln	15	8	4	3	+5	28
6	Union Berlin	14	8	4	2	+5	28
7	Hoffenheim	14	8	3	3	+13	27
8	Leverkusen	14	8	2	4	+14	26
9	Freiburg	14	7	4	3	+7	25
10	Bochum	15	7	4	4	+5	25
11	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+2	22
12	Augsburg	14	6	4	4	+2	22
13	Wolfsburg	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Stuttgart	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-10	18
16	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	5	6	-2	17
17	Bielefeld	14	2	8	4	-5	14
18	Greuther Furth	15	3	5	7	-13	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+26	32
2	Dortmund	15	8	3	4	+9	27
3	Leverkusen	15	7	5	3	+12	26
4	Freiburg	15	6	5	4	+5	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	4	4	+2	22
6	RB Leipzig	14	5	4	5	+10	19
7	Hoffenheim	15	5	2	8	-8	17
8	Union Berlin	15	4	4	7	-6	16
9	FC Koln	14	3	6	5	-7	15
10	M'gladbach	15	4	3	8	-13	15
11	Wolfsburg	14	4	2	8	-11	14
12	Bielefeld	15	3	3	9	-15	12
13	Bochum	14	3	2	9	-15	11
14	Augsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
15	Stuttgart	14	1	6	7	-12	9
16	Mainz	15	2	2	11	-13	8
17	Hertha	14	2	2	10	-25	8
18	Greuther Furth	14	0	2	12	-35	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.