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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Freiburg

T U S S T

0–0

Full-time

Leverkusen

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 13. · Leverkusen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+15	17
2	M'gladbach	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Werder Bremen	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	RB Leipzig	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Mainz	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Freiburg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Schalke 04	7	2	0	5	-4	6
15	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
16	Hannover	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Stuttgart	7	1	2	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Mainz	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Hannover	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Werder Bremen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Dortmund	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	M'gladbach	4	1	2	1	+1	5
5	Hertha	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-1	3
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Stuttgart	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Hannover	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Nurnberg	3	0	1	2	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.