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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Luzern

U T T S S

1–0

Full-time

St. Gallen

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 48%

43%

52%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

57%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 1,48

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · St. Gallen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	22	14	5	3	+28	+1.2	47
2	Servette	21	10	8	3	+11	+12.7	38
3	St. Gallen	21	11	3	7	+8	+7.8	36
4	Zurich	22	8	9	5	+10	+1.8	33
5	Lugano	22	10	3	9	+5	+5.5	33
6	Luzern	21	9	4	8	-2	+0.8	31
7	Winterthur	22	8	5	9	-6	-1.3	29
8	Yverdon	22	7	6	9	-15	-9.7	27
9	Grasshoppers	22	7	4	11	+0	-6.7	25
10	Basel	22	7	4	11	-8	-5.6	25
11	Lausanne	22	5	6	11	-8	+1.8	21
12	Lausanne Ouchy	21	3	5	13	-23	-8.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	11	9	2	0	+24	+3.7	29
2	St. Gallen	11	9	0	2	+12	+3.6	27
3	Luzern	10	7	1	2	+6	+3.0	22
4	Yverdon	11	6	3	2	+2	-0.3	21
5	Zurich	11	5	5	1	+7	+0.6	20
6	Servette	10	5	4	1	+8	+6.1	19
7	Winterthur	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.7	18
8	Grasshoppers	11	5	2	4	+7	-1.9	17
9	Lugano	11	5	2	4	+2	+2.4	17
10	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+2	+0.7	15
11	Basel	11	4	2	5	+0	-3.1	14
12	Lausanne Ouchy	11	1	4	6	-15	-3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	11	5	4	2	+3	+6.6	19
2	Young Boys	11	5	3	3	+4	-2.5	18
3	Lugano	11	5	1	5	+3	+3.2	16
4	Zurich	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.2	13
5	Winterthur	11	3	2	6	-6	-2.9	11
6	Basel	11	3	2	6	-8	-2.5	11
7	St. Gallen	10	2	3	5	-4	+4.2	9
8	Luzern	11	2	3	6	-8	-2.3	9
9	Grasshoppers	11	2	2	7	-7	-4.8	8
10	Lausanne Ouchy	10	2	1	7	-8	-5.2	7
11	Lausanne	11	1	3	7	-10	+1.1	6
12	Yverdon	11	1	3	7	-17	-9.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.