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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

St. Gallen

S T U U U

2–3

Full-time

Luzern

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 55%

60%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 54%

40%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,89 xG 1,81

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 6. · Luzern 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+4	+0.4	13
2	Servette	6	4	0	2	-3	-1.4	12
3	Zurich	5	3	2	0	+6	+0.4	11
4	Luzern	6	3	2	1	+4	+0.6	11
5	Basel	6	3	1	2	+9	+3.9	10
6	St. Gallen	5	3	1	1	+5	-0.2	10
7	Sion	6	3	1	2	+4	+2.9	10
8	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
9	Grasshoppers	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
10	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-7	+1.5	4
11	Winterthur	6	1	1	4	-7	-4.7	4
12	Young Boys	6	0	3	3	-7	-3.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sion	3	2	1	0	+6	+4.4	7
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.9	7
3	Lugano	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.9	7
4	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
5	Luzern	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
6	Servette	3	2	0	1	-3	-2.0	6
7	Winterthur	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
8	Grasshoppers	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.7	4
9	Yverdon	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.9	4
10	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.3	3
11	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.5	3
12	Young Boys	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	4	2	1	1	+8	+1.6	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.5	6
3	Servette	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.6	6
4	Luzern	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.8	5
5	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.2	4
7	Sion	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.5	3
8	Yverdon	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.5	1
9	Young Boys	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.2	1
10	Lausanne	3	0	1	2	-6	-0.0	1
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0
12	Winterthur	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.