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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Basel
S S T S S
3–1
Full-time
Servette
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
3,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
57%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,5
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,10 xG 0,79
49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 3. · Servette 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 15 8 4 3 +9 +4.1 28
2 Zurich 15 7 5 3 +4 -2.8 26
3 Basel 14 8 1 5 +20 +9.0 25
4 Servette 14 7 4 3 +2 +0.9 25
5 Luzern 15 6 5 4 +4 +0.4 23
6 Lausanne 15 7 2 6 +3 +9.6 23
7 St. Gallen 14 5 5 4 +6 -2.0 20
8 Sion 15 4 5 6 -1 +7.5 17
9 Young Boys 15 4 5 6 -5 -1.5 17
10 Yverdon 14 4 3 7 -10 -9.8 15
11 Winterthur 15 3 3 9 -21 -14.4 12
12 Grasshoppers 15 2 4 9 -11 -0.9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -24 Servette – Basel 0–6 14. Apr -24 Basel – Servette 2–1 12. Nov -23 Servette – Basel 4–1 21. Oct -23 Basel – Servette 0–1 25. May -23 Servette – Basel 3–3

Match report

Basel Servette
Adrian Leon Barišić 🟨
32′
1–0 X. Shaqiri ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–1
55′
⚽ T. Cognat 1–1
J. Guillemenot
L. Leroy 🔁
↦ Romário Baró
59′
60′
🔁 U. Simbakoli
↦ J. Guillemenot
G. Sigua 🔁
↦ M. Šotiček
66′
69′
🟨 Timothé Cognat
75′
🔁 J. von Moos
↦ D. Kutesa
A. Ajeti 🔁
↦ Kevin Carlos
82′
Leo Leroy ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
89′
Xherdan Shaqiri ❌
penalty missed
90′
90′
🔁 T. Ouattara
↦ T. Cognat
2–1 X. Shaqiri ⚽
91′
3–1 X. Shaqiri ⚽
B. Traoré
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
17 J. Mendes D
26 A. Barišić D
3 N. Vouilloz D
31 D. Schmid D
37 L. Avdullahu M
8 Romário Baró M
19 M. Šotiček M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 B. Traoré M
9 Kevin Carlos F
Bench (9)
22 L. Leroy
21 G. Sigua
23 A. Ajeti
14 B. Fink
7 B. Kololli
13 M. Salvi
4 Arnau Comas
29 M. Cissé
32 J. Adjetey

Coach: F. Celestini

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
20 T. Magnin D
28 D. Douline M
5 G. Ondoua M
9 M. Stevanović M
8 T. Cognat M
17 D. Kutesa M
21 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (7)
22 U. Simbakoli
11 J. von Moos
31 T. Ouattara
6 A. Baron
1 J. Mall
23 S. Bouzamoucha
25 K. Adams

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.