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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Yverdon
U S S T T
1–4
Full-time
Basel
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
31%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

26% Possession 74%
5 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 10
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yverdon 8. · Basel 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 13 7 4 2 +7 -1.0 25
2 Lugano 13 7 4 2 +7 +1.8 25
3 Servette 13 7 3 3 +2 +0.9 24
4 Basel 13 7 1 5 +17 +9.0 22
5 Luzern 13 6 4 3 +6 +2.6 22
6 Lausanne 13 6 2 5 +3 +9.1 20
7 St. Gallen 13 4 5 4 +5 -3.1 17
8 Yverdon 13 4 3 6 -7 -9.8 15
9 Sion 13 3 5 5 -2 +6.6 14
10 Young Boys 13 3 4 6 -6 -1.9 13
11 Grasshoppers 13 2 3 8 -10 -0.9 9
12 Winterthur 13 2 2 9 -22 -13.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yverdon Basel
Anthony Sauthier 🟥
19′
Anthony Sauthier ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
19′
32′
D. Schmid 0–1
J. Mendes
45′
🟨 Benie Traore
Half-time 0–2
46′
B. Traoré 0–2
X. Shaqiri
Mauro Rodrigues 🔁
↦ J. Hautier
46′
D. Kacuri 🔁
↦ B. Céspedes
46′
R. Alves 🔁
↦ N. Gunnarsson
46′
51′
L. Avdullahu 0–3
57′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ L. Avdullahu
58′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ J. Mendes
58′
🔁 M. Šotiček
↦ B. Traoré
60′
Kevin Carlos 0–4
A. Ajeti
Mauro Rodrigues 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Anton Kade
70′
🔁 J. Adjetey
↦ A. Barišić
M. Ntelo 🔁
↦ H. Komano
71′
F. Sylla 🔁
↦ J. Gnakpa
79′
79′
🔁 G. Sigua
↦ X. Shaqiri
85′
🟨 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
1–4 Mauro Rodrigues
R. Alves
89′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Yverdon

3-4-3
40 P. Bernardoni G
23 N. Gunnarsson D
25 Christian Marques D
2 M. Tijani D
32 A. Sauthier M
24 J. Gnakpa M
10 B. Céspedes M
6 W. Le Pogam M
9 M. Aké F
21 H. Komano F
20 J. Hautier F
Bench (9)
7 Mauro Rodrigues
70 D. Kacuri
17 R. Alves
11 M. Ntelo
37 F. Sylla
77 A. Avdić
3 D. Kamenović
45 D. Lembikisa
22 K. Martin

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
17 J. Mendes D
26 A. Barišić D
3 N. Vouilloz D
31 D. Schmid D
8 Romário Baró M
37 L. Avdullahu M
30 A. Kade M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 B. Traoré M
9 Kevin Carlos F
Bench (9)
22 L. Leroy
23 A. Ajeti
19 M. Šotiček
32 J. Adjetey
21 G. Sigua
34 T. Xhaka
29 M. Cissé
14 B. Fink
13 M. Salvi

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.