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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Cremonese
S S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Frosinone
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
38%
8%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
54%
38%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 8
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 6. · Frosinone 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 14 9 4 1 +17 31
2 Pisa 14 8 4 2 +10 28
3 Spezia 13 7 6 0 +11 27
4 Cesena 14 6 4 4 +4 22
5 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
6 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
7 Brescia 14 5 3 6 -2 18
8 Juve Stabia 14 4 6 4 -3 18
9 Bari 13 3 8 2 +4 17
10 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
11 Mantova 14 4 5 5 -3 17
12 Catanzaro 14 2 10 2 +2 16
13 Carrarese 14 4 4 6 -3 16
14 Modena 14 3 6 5 -1 15
15 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
16 Reggiana 14 3 6 5 -2 15
17 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
18 Salernitana 14 3 4 7 -9 13
19 Cittadella 13 3 4 6 -10 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Frosinone
Michele Castagnetti 🟨
24′
27′
🔁 D. Bettella
↦ D. Biraschi
42′
🟨 Riccardo Marchizza
Half-time 1–0
1–0 F. Vázquez
L. Ravanelli
55′
63′
🔁 T. Begić
↦ A. Oyono
63′
🔁 G. Ambrosino
↦ İ. Vural
72′
🔁 L. Garritano
↦ F. Gelli
72′
🔁 L. Canotto
↦ G. Bracaglia
M. De Luca 🔁
↦ C. Buonaiuto
74′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
74′
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
79′
T. Barbieri 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
79′
Federico Bonazzoli 🟨
92′
J. Vandeputte 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
18 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
17 L. Sernicola M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (12)
9 M. De Luca
6 C. Pickel
37 Ž. Majer
4 T. Barbieri
27 J. Vandeputte
42 L. Moretti
3 G. Quagliata
21 G. Saro
62 T. Milanese
23 F. Ceccherini
22 A. Jungdal
99 M. Nasti

Coach: G. Stroppa

Frosinone

3-5-2
31 M. Cerofolini G
4 D. Biraschi D
30 I. Monterisi D
79 G. Bracaglia D
20 A. Oyono M
8 İ. Vural M
64 M. Cichella M
14 F. Gelli M
3 R. Marchizza M
9 A. Cichero F
17 G. Kvernadze F
Bench (11)
18 D. Bettella
11 T. Begić
10 G. Ambrosino
16 L. Garritano
27 L. Canotto
37 K. Barcella
21 J. Oyono
13 A. Sorrentino
99 F. Sene
25 P. Szymiński
36 F. Grosso

Coach: L. Greco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,56
B
4,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.