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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Westerlo

T U T T S

4–0

Full-time

Kortrijk

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 20%

22%

18%

Points per game

0,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

78%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

67%

36%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

1,6

0,5

Conceded

2,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,32 xG 0,55

51% Possession 49%

21 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Westerlo 14. · Kortrijk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	7	2	1	+17	+4.8	23
2	Genk	10	7	1	2	+9	+14.1	22
3	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+15	+9.2	21
4	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+14	+7.7	19
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+11	-1.5	17
6	Mechelen	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.1	14
7	St. Gilloise	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
8	Charleroi	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
9	Dender	10	3	5	2	+0	-2.2	14
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	-8	-5.8	14
11	St Truiden	12	3	3	6	-14	-4.5	12
12	Cercle Brugge	12	3	2	7	-13	-9.4	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	1	6	3	-3	+2.2	9
14	Westerlo	9	2	2	5	-4	-1.6	8
15	Beerschot VA	12	1	4	7	-14	-12.6	7
16	Kortrijk	11	2	1	8	-17	-8.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	6	5	1	0	+10	+7.4	16
2	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
3	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
4	Gent	5	4	0	1	+12	+3.3	12
5	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
6	St Truiden	7	3	3	1	+1	+1.3	12
7	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.2	10
8	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
9	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
10	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+10	+6.4	7
11	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+2	+4.6	7
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	4	1	+1	+2.3	7
13	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.4	7
14	Beerschot VA	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
15	Kortrijk	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.4	6
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+5	+2.8	14
2	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
3	Dender	6	2	3	1	-2	-2.8	9
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.1	7
5	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
6	St. Gilloise	6	0	5	1	-1	+0.8	5
7	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.8	5
8	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.3	4
9	Charleroi	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
10	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-10	-7.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Standard	5	0	1	4	-12	-5.2	1
14	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-13	-7.7	1
15	Kortrijk	6	0	1	5	-14	-7.0	1
16	St Truiden	5	0	0	5	-15	-5.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.