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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myć

Rakow

S S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

60%

27%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,96 xG 0,41

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 3. · Korona Kielce 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	12	1	3	+20	+10.1	37
2	Jagiellonia	16	10	3	3	+7	-0.9	33
3	Rakow	15	9	4	2	+13	+9.3	31
4	Cracovia	16	9	2	5	+8	-0.4	29
5	Legia	16	8	4	4	+10	+8.6	28
6	Pogon Szczecin	16	8	1	7	+4	+6.6	25
7	Motor Lublin	16	7	3	6	-4	-1.1	24
8	Widzew Lodz	15	6	4	5	+1	-1.1	22
9	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+2	+2.6	21
10	Piast Gliwice	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.5	20
11	GKS Katowice	16	5	4	7	+0	+0.5	19
12	Stal Mielec	16	5	3	8	-4	+4.5	18
13	Zaglebie	16	5	3	8	-8	-4.5	18
14	Radomiak Radom	15	5	1	9	-3	-1.7	16
15	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-10	-1.8	16
16	Puszcza	15	2	5	8	-12	-11.9	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	16	2	5	9	-14	-16.2	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	15	1	7	7	-11	-2.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	9	8	0	1	+17	+9.5	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	8	7	0	1	+10	+8.3	21
3	Legia	9	6	1	2	+11	+6.9	19
4	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	+6	+3.4	18
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+3	+8.0	14
6	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+6	+4.8	13
7	Zaglebie	8	4	1	3	+2	-1.4	13
8	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+2	+0.1	13
9	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.3	11
10	Motor Lublin	8	3	2	3	-1	-0.6	11
11	Radomiak Radom	8	3	1	4	+2	+2.7	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	1	3	+2	+3.8	10
13	Piast Gliwice	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.9	9
14	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+1	-2.5	9
15	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-3.6	9
16	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	4	2	-2	+0.9	7
17	Korona Kielce	7	2	1	4	-3	+2.4	7
18	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	2	5	-8	-9.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	8	6	0	2	+7	-0.2	18
2	Rakow	8	5	3	0	+7	+4.4	18
3	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+1	-4.3	15
4	Lech Poznan	7	4	1	2	+3	+0.6	13
5	Motor Lublin	8	4	1	3	-3	-0.6	13
6	Gornik Zabrze	8	3	2	3	+0	-1.2	11
7	Piast Gliwice	8	3	2	3	+0	+1.4	11
8	GKS Katowice	8	3	1	4	-1	+3.0	10
9	Widzew Lodz	8	2	3	3	-1	-1.2	9
10	Legia	7	2	3	2	-1	+1.7	9
11	Korona Kielce	8	2	3	3	-7	-4.2	9
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	0	5	-5	-4.4	6
13	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	3	4	-6	-6.5	6
14	Zaglebie	8	1	2	5	-10	-3.1	5
15	Pogon Szczecin	8	1	1	6	-6	-1.7	4
16	Stal Mielec	8	1	1	6	-7	-3.4	4
17	Slask Wroclaw	8	0	3	5	-9	-2.9	3
18	Puszcza	8	0	2	6	-10	-8.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.