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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

Varnamo

U T S U U

1–0

Full-time

Landskrona

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Landskrona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 31/1 matches

Win Ø 12%

23%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

42%

100%

Both score Ø 74%

48%

100%

Average goals

2,4

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	30	19	8	3	+42	+20.7	65
2	Hammarby	30	16	6	8	+23	+8.4	54
3	AIK	30	17	3	10	+5	+3.5	54
4	Djurgarden	30	16	5	9	+10	+0.4	53
5	Mjallby	30	14	8	8	+9	+4.4	50
6	GAIS	30	14	6	10	+2	-2.9	48
7	Elfsborg	30	13	6	11	+8	+6.7	45
8	Hacken	30	12	6	12	+3	-11.2	42
9	Sirius	30	12	5	13	+1	-1.4	41
10	Brommapojkarna	30	8	10	12	-7	-2.4	34
11	Norrkoping	30	9	7	14	-21	-4.2	34
12	Halmstad	30	10	3	17	-18	-7.5	33
13	Varnamo	31	7	11	13	-10	-3.9	32
14	Goteborg	30	7	10	13	-10	-5.7	31
15	Kalmar	30	8	6	16	-20	-7.6	30
16	Vasteras SK	30	6	5	19	-17	+2.7	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	15	13	1	1	+31	+9.2	40
2	Mjallby	15	9	5	1	+12	+5.0	32
3	Hammarby	15	9	4	2	+16	+5.8	31
4	AIK	15	10	1	4	+14	+6.1	31
5	GAIS	15	9	4	2	+11	+1.7	31
6	Elfsborg	15	9	3	3	+16	+7.5	30
7	Djurgarden	15	8	4	3	+6	-1.9	28
8	Halmstad	15	7	2	6	+5	+0.7	23
9	Hacken	15	6	3	6	+6	-1.2	21
10	Sirius	15	6	3	6	+5	+4.1	21
11	Norrkoping	15	6	2	7	-8	-1.6	20
12	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	-7	-1.6	17
13	Vasteras SK	15	4	3	8	-6	+4.0	15
14	Goteborg	15	3	6	6	-6	-2.0	15
15	Kalmar	15	4	2	9	-10	-0.5	14
16	Varnamo	15	2	4	9	-13	-0.9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	15	6	7	2	+11	+11.5	25
2	Djurgarden	15	8	1	6	+4	+2.3	25
3	Hammarby	15	7	2	6	+7	+2.6	23
4	AIK	15	7	2	6	-9	-2.6	23
5	Varnamo	16	5	7	4	+3	-3.0	22
6	Hacken	15	6	3	6	-3	-10.0	21
7	Sirius	15	6	2	7	-4	-5.5	20
8	Mjallby	15	5	3	7	-3	-0.6	18
9	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	+0	-0.8	17
10	GAIS	15	5	2	8	-9	-4.6	17
11	Goteborg	15	4	4	7	-4	-3.7	16
12	Kalmar	15	4	4	7	-10	-7.1	16
13	Elfsborg	15	4	3	8	-8	-0.8	15
14	Norrkoping	15	3	5	7	-13	-2.6	14
15	Halmstad	15	3	1	11	-23	-8.2	10
16	Vasteras SK	15	2	2	11	-11	-1.4	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.