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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
1–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,58 xG 1,45
49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13. · St. Gilloise 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 7 2 1 +17 +4.8 23
2 Genk 10 7 1 2 +9 +14.1 22
3 Club Brugge 10 6 3 1 +15 +9.2 21
4 Anderlecht 10 5 4 1 +14 +7.7 19
5 Gent 10 5 2 3 +11 -1.5 17
6 Mechelen 10 4 2 4 +3 -0.1 14
7 Charleroi 10 4 2 4 +1 +2.3 14
8 Dender 10 3 5 2 +0 -2.2 14
9 Standard 10 4 2 4 -8 -5.8 14
10 St. Gilloise 9 3 4 2 +3 +5.9 13
11 St Truiden 12 3 3 6 -14 -4.5 12
12 Cercle Brugge 12 3 2 7 -13 -9.4 11
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 5 3 -3 +2.1 8
14 Westerlo 9 2 2 5 -4 -1.6 8
15 Beerschot VA 12 1 4 7 -14 -12.6 7
16 Kortrijk 11 2 1 8 -17 -8.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St. Gilloise
11′
S. Schrijvers 1–0
own goal
23′
🟨 Loïc Lapoussin
Ezechiel Banzuzi 🟨
26′
2–0 S. Schrijvers
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ L. Amani
K. N’Dri 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
52′
60′
🟨 Ross Sykes
H. Mendyl 🔁
↦ T. Akimoto
62′
W. Balikwisha 🔁
↦ S. Mitrović
62′
65′
🔁 A. Khalaili
↦ P. David
65′
🔁 M. Fuseini
↦ F. Ivanović
72′
🟥 Charles Vanhoutte
75′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ K. Mac Allister
77′
🟨 Sofiane Boufal
Federico Ricca 🟨
79′
D. Opoku 🔁
↦ T. Vlietinck
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
1 T. Leysen G
25 M. Osifo D
58 H. Kuruçay D
14 F. Ricca D
77 T. Vlietinck M
8 S. Schrijvers M
6 E. Banzuzi M
30 T. Akimoto M
10 Y. Maziz F
23 S. Mitrović F
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
Bench (9)
11 K. N’Dri
20 H. Mendyl
21 W. Balikwisha
99 D. Opoku
63 C. Souanga
16 M. Prévot
27 Óscar Gil
61 O. Jochmans
55 W. George

Coach: H. Somers

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
5 K. Mac Allister M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
8 L. Amani M
27 N. Sadiki M
94 L. Lapoussin M
12 P. David F
9 F. Ivanović F
Bench (8)
23 S. Boufal
25 A. Khalaili
77 M. Fuseini
4 M. Rasmussen
10 A. Ait El Hadj
22 O. Niang
1 V. Chambaere
6 K. Van de Perre

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,93
U ✓
3,44
B
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.