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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Bari

U U U U S

3–2

Full-time

Cittadella

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 23%

23%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

31%

Both score Ø 43%

54%

31%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 8

4 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 9. · Cittadella 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	9	4	1	+17	31
2	Pisa	14	8	4	2	+10	28
3	Spezia	13	7	6	0	+11	27
4	Cesena	14	6	4	4	+4	22
5	Cosenza	14	4	7	3	+0	19
6	Cremonese	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Brescia	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Juve Stabia	14	4	6	4	-3	18
9	Bari	13	3	8	2	+4	17
10	Palermo	13	4	5	4	+2	17
11	Mantova	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Catanzaro	14	2	10	2	+2	16
13	Carrarese	14	4	4	6	-3	16
14	Modena	14	3	6	5	-1	15
15	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-2	15
16	Reggiana	14	3	6	5	-2	15
17	Sudtirol	13	4	1	8	-6	13
18	Salernitana	14	3	4	7	-9	13
19	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-10	13
20	Frosinone	13	1	7	5	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+9	17
2	Cesena	8	5	2	1	+6	17
3	Sassuolo	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Spezia	6	5	1	0	+6	16
5	Mantova	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Carrarese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Catanzaro	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Modena	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Brescia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	-1	10
11	Reggiana	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Bari	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Cremonese	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Salernitana	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Juve Stabia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Sampdoria	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Sudtirol	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	Palermo	5	1	2	2	+0	5
19	Frosinone	7	0	5	2	-4	5
20	Cittadella	6	0	4	2	-3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+7	15
2	Palermo	8	3	3	2	+2	12
3	Spezia	7	2	5	0	+5	11
4	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+2	10
6	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Bari	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Cosenza	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Cittadella	7	3	0	4	-7	9
10	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Reggiana	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Sudtirol	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Cesena	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Catanzaro	6	0	5	1	-2	5
16	Salernitana	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Frosinone	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Modena	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Mantova	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.