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Bundesliga
Referee: E Ristoskov
BW Linz
U T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Grazer AK
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Grazer AK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
38%
8%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 66%
54%
77%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match BW Linz 7. · Grazer AK 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 14 10 2 2 +21 32
2 SK Rapid 14 7 6 1 +6 27
3 Austria Vienna 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 LASK 14 6 2 6 +1 20
5 Salzburg 12 5 3 4 +0 18
6 Wolfsberger AC 13 5 2 6 +4 17
7 BW Linz 13 5 2 6 -2 17
8 Hartberg 12 4 4 4 +0 16
9 A. Klagenfurt 13 4 3 6 -14 15
10 Tirol 14 3 4 7 -7 13
11 Altach 13 2 3 8 -6 9
12 Grazer AK 13 1 6 6 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Aug -24 Grazer AK – BW Linz 2–2

Match report

BW Linz Grazer AK
1–0 T. Goiginger
A. Schmidt
30′
Simon Seidl 🟨
40′
41′
C. Lichtenberger 1–1
B. Rosenberger
Half-time 1–1
Soumaila Diabate 🟨
46′
M. Ibrahimi 🔁
↦ A. Schmidt
46′
48′
T. Cipot 1–2
D. Maderner
55′
🔁 M. Kreuzriegler
↦ L. Graf
59′
ℹ️ Miloš Jovičić
VAR: Card upgrade
60′
🟥 Miloš Jovičić
62′
🔁 J. Italiano
↦ T. Cipot
66′
🟨 Jacob Italiano
J. Gölles 🔁
↦ S. Pirkl
79′
K. Dobras 🔁
↦ A. Briedl
79′
81′
🔁 R. Vučić
↦ C. Lichtenberger
82′
🔁 D. Dressel
↦ M. Perchtold
C. Noß 🔁
↦ S. Diabaté
89′
Conor Noß 🟨
90′
92′
🟨 Benjamin Rosenberger
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

BW Linz

4-3-3
1 R. Vítek G
28 Anderson D
15 M. Maranda D
16 M. Moormann D
60 S. Pirkl D
20 S. Seidl M
18 S. Diabaté M
19 A. Briedl M
13 A. Schmidt F
9 Ronivaldo F
27 T. Goiginger F
Bench (7)
29 M. Ibrahimi
14 J. Gölles
30 K. Dobras
7 C. Noß
17 A. Pašić
31 K. Radulovic
10 P. Mensah

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Grazer AK

3-4-1-2
1 J. Meierhofer G
30 M. Jovičić D
5 P. Filipović D
15 L. Graf D
21 M. Lang M
7 M. Şatin M
13 M. Perchtold M
27 B. Rosenberger M
9 D. Maderner F
10 C. Lichtenberger F
11 T. Cipot F
Bench (7)
4 M. Kreuzriegler
14 J. Italiano
12 R. Vučić
24 D. Dressel
26 C. Nicht
8 G. Zirngast
18 A. Zaizen

Coach: R. Poms

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.