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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Servette

U S U S S

2–2

Full-time

Luzern

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

64%

45%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

73%

Both score Ø 69%

64%

73%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,74 xG 1,21

65% Possession 35%

23 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 2. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	12	7	3	2	+7	-1.0	24
2	Servette	11	7	2	2	+3	-0.5	23
3	Lugano	11	6	3	2	+5	-0.3	21
4	Basel	12	6	1	5	+12	+5.9	19
5	Luzern	11	5	3	3	+4	+3.1	18
6	Lausanne	12	5	2	5	+2	+7.8	17
7	St. Gallen	12	4	4	4	+5	-3.5	16
8	Yverdon	12	4	3	5	-5	-7.7	15
9	Sion	12	3	4	5	-2	+7.0	13
10	Young Boys	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.9	12
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	2	7	-8	+1.1	8
12	Winterthur	12	2	2	8	-17	-10.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.7	13
2	Lausanne	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
3	Servette	5	4	0	1	+1	-2.0	12
4	St. Gallen	6	3	2	1	+7	-0.0	11
5	Zurich	6	3	2	1	+3	-2.3	11
6	Sion	7	2	4	1	+4	+8.5	10
7	Luzern	6	3	1	2	+3	+4.0	10
8	Yverdon	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.7	10
9	Basel	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.8	9
10	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.3	8
11	Winterthur	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.8	7
12	Grasshoppers	5	1	2	2	-2	+3.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.3	13
2	Servette	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
3	Basel	7	3	1	3	+11	+2.2	10
4	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.9	8
5	Lugano	5	2	2	1	+0	-1.9	8
6	St. Gallen	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.5	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-4	-6.0	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.0	5
9	Young Boys	6	1	1	4	-6	+2.5	4
10	Sion	5	1	0	4	-6	-1.5	3
11	Grasshoppers	6	1	0	5	-6	-2.1	3
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.