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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Zurich
S T S U S
1–3
Full-time
Servette
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,58 xG 1,95
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 1. · Servette 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 10 6 3 1 +7 +0.4 21
2 Servette 10 6 2 2 +1 -1.8 20
3 Basel 11 6 1 4 +13 +5.9 19
4 Luzern 11 5 3 3 +4 +3.1 18
5 Lugano 10 5 3 2 +3 +0.7 18
6 St. Gallen 11 4 3 4 +5 -3.5 15
7 Yverdon 11 4 3 4 -2 -6.8 15
8 Lausanne 11 4 2 5 -1 +6.9 14
9 Sion 11 3 4 4 +0 +7.0 13
10 Young Boys 10 2 3 5 -5 -2.8 9
11 Grasshoppers 11 2 2 7 -8 +1.1 8
12 Winterthur 11 2 1 8 -17 -10.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Servette
-5′
🟨 Joel Mall
4′
🟨 Steve Rouiller
32′
D. Kutesa 0–1
M. Stevanović
34′
🔁 K. Adams
↦ S. Rouiller
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Baron
↦ T. Ouattara
51′
D. Kutesa 0–2
M. Stevanović
Rodrigo Conceição 🔁
↦ C. Ligue
55′
J. Markelo 🔁
↦ L. Kamberi
55′
62′
🟨 Enzo Crivelli
Mariano Gómez 🟨
64′
65′
M. Stevanović 0–3
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
66′
I. Mathew 🔁
↦ C. Conde
70′
J. Okita 🔁
↦ U. Emmanuel
71′
74′
🔁 U. Simbakoli
↦ E. Crivelli
74′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ D. Kutesa
D. Afriyie 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
77′
Rodrigo Conceição 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 M. Sawadogo
↦ T. Cognat
1–3 J. Perea
J. Okita
90′
Juan José Perea 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zurich

3-4-2-1
25 Y. Brecher G
24 N. Katić D
5 M. Gómez D
31 M. Kryeziu D
2 L. Kamberi M
17 C. Conde M
7 B. Krasniqi M
20 C. Ligue M
21 U. Emmanuel F
23 M. Chouiar F
9 J. Perea F
Bench (9)
27 Rodrigo Conceição
26 J. Markelo
12 I. Mathew
11 J. Okita
18 D. Afriyie
22 A. Oko-Flex
1 Ž. Kostadinović
3 N. Tosic
6 C. Tsawa

Coach: R. Moniz

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
20 T. Magnin D
28 D. Douline M
8 T. Cognat M
31 T. Ouattara M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (8)
25 K. Adams
6 A. Baron
22 U. Simbakoli
21 J. Guillemenot
24 M. Sawadogo
5 G. Ondoua
36 Keyan Varela
1 J. Mall

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 151 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.