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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Lausanne
T U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Servette
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
42%
58%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,96 xG 0,75
46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 7. · Servette 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 13 7 4 2 +7 -1.0 25
2 Servette 12 7 3 2 +3 +2.1 24
3 Basel 13 7 1 5 +17 +9.0 22
4 Lugano 12 6 4 2 +5 -0.3 22
5 Luzern 12 5 4 3 +4 +0.6 19
6 St. Gallen 13 4 5 4 +5 -3.1 17
7 Lausanne 12 5 2 5 +2 +7.8 17
8 Yverdon 12 4 3 5 -5 -7.7 15
9 Sion 13 3 5 5 -2 +6.6 14
10 Young Boys 13 3 4 6 -6 -1.9 13
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 3 7 -8 +1.1 9
12 Winterthur 13 2 2 9 -22 -13.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne Servette
16′
🟨 Steve Rouiller
1–0 N. Dussenne
17′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 Keyan Varela
↦ J. von Moos
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ A. Bernede
59′
K. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
59′
M. Polster 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
76′
K. Sène 🔁
↦ A. Ajdini
76′
76′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ E. Crivelli
Kevin Mouanga 🟨
77′
84′
🔁 U. Simbakoli
↦ M. Stevanović
S. Pafundi 🔁
↦ A. Sanches
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-3
25 K. Letica G
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
6 N. Dussenne D
18 M. Poaty D
80 A. Sanches M
8 J. Roche M
24 A. Bernede M
92 T. Okou F
7 A. Ajdini F
11 F. Diabaté F
Bench (9)
5 K. Koindredi
23 K. de la Fuente
43 M. Polster
9 K. Sène
30 S. Pafundi
44 D. Ngonzo
39 F. Oviedo
10 O. Custodio
1 T. Castella

Coach: L. Magnin

Servette

4-2-3-1
1 J. Mall G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
20 T. Magnin D
5 G. Ondoua M
8 T. Cognat M
11 J. von Moos M
9 M. Stevanović M
17 D. Kutesa M
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (8)
36 Keyan Varela
21 J. Guillemenot
22 U. Simbakoli
25 K. Adams
32 J. Frick
23 S. Bouzamoucha
28 D. Douline
6 A. Baron

Coach: T. Häberli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.