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Super League

Referee: F San

Lugano

S U S T T

4–1

Full-time

Zurich

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,06 xG 1,27

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Zurich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	14	7	5	2	+7	-1.0	26
2	Basel	14	8	1	5	+20	+9.0	25
3	Lugano	14	7	4	3	+6	+2.3	25
4	Servette	14	7	4	3	+2	+0.9	25
5	Luzern	15	6	5	4	+4	+0.4	23
6	Lausanne	15	7	2	6	+3	+9.6	23
7	St. Gallen	14	5	5	4	+6	-2.0	20
8	Sion	15	4	5	6	-1	+7.5	17
9	Young Boys	15	4	5	6	-5	-1.5	17
10	Yverdon	14	4	3	7	-10	-9.8	15
11	Winterthur	15	3	3	9	-21	-14.4	12
12	Grasshoppers	15	2	4	9	-11	-0.9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	8	6	0	2	+8	+8.6	18
2	Lugano	7	5	1	1	+7	+3.7	16
3	Luzern	8	4	2	2	+5	+5.1	14
4	Servette	7	4	2	1	+1	+0.5	14
5	Sion	8	3	4	1	+6	+9.9	13
6	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+7	+0.4	12
7	Basel	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
8	Zurich	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.3	12
9	Young Boys	7	3	2	2	+1	-4.8	11
10	Yverdon	7	3	1	3	-4	-1.7	10
11	Winterthur	7	3	1	3	-6	-3.8	10
12	Grasshoppers	8	1	4	3	-3	+3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	7	4	2	1	+4	+1.3	14
2	Basel	8	4	1	3	+14	+2.2	13
3	Servette	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.3	11
4	Luzern	7	2	3	2	-1	-4.8	9
5	Lugano	7	2	3	2	-1	-1.4	9
6	St. Gallen	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.4	8
7	Young Boys	8	1	3	4	-6	+3.3	6
8	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-5	+1.0	5
9	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-6	-8.1	5
10	Sion	7	1	1	5	-7	-2.4	4
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	0	6	-8	-4.2	3
12	Winterthur	8	0	2	6	-15	-10.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.