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Super League

Referee: K Katikos

Asteras Tripolis

S U S S T

1–2

Full-time

PAOK

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · PAOK 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	13	6	5	2	+4	23
2	AEK	11	6	3	2	+12	21
3	Olympiakos	12	6	3	3	+7	21
4	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	3	3	+6	21
5	Aris	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Panetolikos	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	PAOK	12	6	2	4	+6	20
8	OFI Crete	13	5	4	4	-2	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	5	3	+2	17
10	Volos NFC	13	5	1	7	-7	16
11	Atromitos	12	4	3	5	+0	15
12	Panserraikos	13	4	1	8	-7	13
13	Levadeiakos	12	1	6	5	-9	9
14	Lamia	13	1	5	7	-11	8
15	Athens Kallithea	13	0	7	6	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Aris Thessalonikis	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Aris	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Panetolikos	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Panathinaikos	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	OFI Crete	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Asteras Tripolis	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	PAOK	7	2	1	4	-1	7
10	Levadeiakos	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Atromitos	7	1	2	4	-3	5
12	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	Lamia	6	0	3	3	-5	3
14	Athens Kallithea	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Volos NFC	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	7	5	0	2	+2	15
2	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Panathinaikos	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	OFI Crete	7	3	2	2	-2	11
5	Olympiakos	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Atromitos	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Asteras Tripolis	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Panserraikos	7	3	0	4	-4	9
9	Panetolikos	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Aris	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	AEK	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Lamia	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Athens Kallithea	7	0	4	3	-5	4
15	Levadeiakos	6	0	3	3	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.