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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Winterthur

S T T T T

1–3

Full-time

St. Gallen

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 39%

36%

42%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

69%

50%

Both score Ø 70%

81%

58%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,15 xG 1,53

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 7. · St. Gallen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	36	21	8	7	+38	+5.8	71
2	Lugano	36	20	5	11	+19	+11.1	65
3	Servette	36	17	10	9	+15	+29.0	61
4	Zurich	36	14	12	10	+10	+0.3	54
5	St. Gallen	36	15	9	12	+8	+13.5	54
6	Luzern	37	13	10	14	-5	+1.3	49
7	Winterthur	36	13	10	13	-6	-6.8	49
8	Basel	37	13	9	15	-7	-3.3	48
9	Yverdon	37	13	7	17	-21	-18.0	46
10	Lausanne	37	11	11	15	-5	+4.5	44
11	Grasshoppers	37	10	7	20	-8	-12.0	37
12	Lausanne Ouchy	37	6	8	23	-38	-25.3	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	14	2	2	+34	+8.2	44
2	Yverdon	19	12	4	3	+10	-4.2	40
3	St. Gallen	18	11	4	3	+16	+9.2	37
4	Servette	18	11	4	3	+15	+19.7	37
5	Lugano	18	10	3	5	+11	+9.5	33
6	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+6	+2.9	32
7	Zurich	18	8	7	3	+7	-0.3	31
8	Winterthur	18	9	4	5	+2	+0.7	31
9	Grasshoppers	19	8	3	8	+7	-4.1	27
10	Lausanne	18	7	6	5	+5	+7.0	27
11	Basel	18	7	5	6	+3	-0.2	26
12	Lausanne Ouchy	19	3	6	10	-21	-10.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	18	10	2	6	+8	+1.6	32
2	Young Boys	18	7	6	5	+4	-2.4	27
3	Servette	18	6	6	6	+0	+9.2	24
4	Zurich	18	6	5	7	+3	+0.6	23
5	Basel	19	6	4	9	-10	-3.1	22
6	Winterthur	18	4	6	8	-8	-7.5	18
7	St. Gallen	18	4	5	9	-8	+4.3	17
8	Lausanne	19	4	5	10	-10	-2.5	17
9	Luzern	19	4	5	10	-11	-1.6	17
10	Lausanne Ouchy	18	3	2	13	-17	-14.5	11
11	Grasshoppers	18	2	4	12	-15	-8.0	10
12	Yverdon	18	1	3	14	-31	-13.8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.