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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Basel
S U S U U
0–0
Full-time
Luzern
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 44%
51%
37%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
71%
51%
Both score Ø 50%
51%
49%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 3. · Luzern 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 35 22 7 6 +37 73
2 St. Gallen 35 21 5 9 +25 68
3 Basel 35 18 7 10 +36 61
4 Servette 35 12 13 10 +10 49
5 Luzern 35 13 6 16 -8 45
6 Lugano 35 10 14 11 -1 44
7 Zurich 35 12 6 17 -27 42
8 Thun 35 10 7 18 -22 37
9 Sion 35 9 9 17 -16 36
10 Xamax 35 5 12 18 -34 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Luzern
Half-time 0–0
R. Petretta 🔁
↦ B. Riveros
46′
E. Comert 🔁
↦ L. Lurvink
46′
F. Frei 🔁
↦ O. Bunjaku
46′
63′
🔁 F. Margiotta
↦ N. Zivkovic
63′
🔁 S. Grether
↦ A. Jasari
71′
🔁 Matos
↦ J. Hermann
K. Ademi 🔁
↦ Arthur
73′
79′
🔁 L. Lang
↦ A. Balaruban
Y. Marchand 🔁
↦ M. Stevanovic
82′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 Đorđe Nikolić G
47 Elis Isufi D
4 Eray Cömert D
21 Jasper van der Werff D
28 Raoul Petretta D
20 Fabian Frei M
32 Yannick Marchand M
27 Dimitri Oberlin M
9 Ricky van Wolfswinkel M
41 Tician Tushi M
99 Kemal Ademi F
Bench (7)
44 Jozef Pukaj
15 Blás Riveros
39 Louis Lurvink
22 Orges Bunjaku
23 Lirik Vishi
24 Mihailo Stevanovic
98 Arthur Cabral

Coach: M. Koller

Luzern

4-3-3
23 Simon Enzler G
34 Silvan Sidler D
15 Marvin Schulz D
4 Stefan Knežević D
6 Marco Burki D
17 Simon Grether M
42 Idriz Voca M
25 David Mistrafović M
77 Ryder Matos F
9 Francesco Margiotta F
71 Lino Lang F
Bench (6)
1 David Zibung
21 Ashvin Balaruban
70 Julian Herrmann
30 Ardon Jasari
18 Tyron Owusu
72 Nenad Zivkovic

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

U Schnyder · 151 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.