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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Luzern
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Basel
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
23%
46%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
69%
46%
Both score Ø 62%
77%
46%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
31 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
12 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
16 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · Basel 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +10 28
2 Basel 13 6 2 5 +3 20
3 St. Gallen 13 5 5 3 +1 20
4 Zurich 13 5 3 5 +3 18
5 Lugano 11 4 6 1 +3 18
6 Lausanne 13 5 3 5 +1 18
7 Servette 13 5 3 5 -1 18
8 Luzern 13 3 4 6 -2 13
9 Sion 12 2 5 5 -6 11
10 Vaduz 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -20 Basel – Luzern 3–2 3. Aug -20 Basel – Luzern 0–0 21. Jun -20 Luzern – Basel 2–1 15. Dec -19 Luzern – Basel 2–1 29. Sep -19 Basel – Luzern 3–0

Match report

Luzern Basel
23′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 0–1
J. von Moos
36′
⚽ P. Kasami 0–2
E. Zhegrova
38′
🟨 Pajtim Kasami
Half-time 0–2
Lorik Emini 🟨
50′
1–2 P. Schürpf ⚽
S. Knežević
66′
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ L. Emini
72′
C. Schwegler 🔁
↦ S. Sidler
72′
73′
🔁 Y. Marchand
↦ E. Zhegrova
79′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ J. von Moos
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
84′
85′
🔁 J. van der Werff
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucas D
15 M. Schulz M
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
11 P. Schürpf F
10 L. Schaub M
13 M. Frýdek D
19 F. Ugrinic M
31 L. Emini M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
7 I. Ndiaye
27 C. Schwegler
22 Y. Alounga
1 D. Zibung
6 M. Bürki
17 S. Grether
29 V. Tasar

Coach: F. Celestini

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
5 S. Widmer D
4 E. Cömert D
72 A. Padula D
20 F. Frei M
23 P. Kasami M
30 E. Zhegrova M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel M
98 Arthur Cabral F
18 J. von Moos M
Bench (7)
8 Y. Marchand
11 Afimico Pululu
21 J. van der Werff
22 O. Bunjaku
76 A. Hajdari
1 Đ. Nikolić
7 L. Zuffi

Coach: C. Sforza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.