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Super League

Referee: F San

Luzern

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Basel

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 46%

39%

52%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

43%

74%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

16 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

5 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Basel 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	24	15	3	6	+21	48
2	Young Boys	24	14	6	4	+16	48
3	Basel	23	12	4	7	+24	40
4	Servette	23	10	7	6	+15	37
5	Zurich	24	9	5	10	-18	32
6	Luzern	23	9	4	10	-5	31
7	Lugano	23	6	8	9	-3	26
8	Sion	24	6	5	13	-14	23
9	Xamax	24	4	10	10	-12	22
10	Thun	24	5	4	15	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Basel	12	7	2	3	+16	23
3	St. Gallen	12	7	2	3	+11	23
4	Servette	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Luzern	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-9	17
7	Sion	12	3	3	6	-4	12
8	Lugano	12	2	6	4	-5	12
9	Xamax	12	2	3	7	-7	9
10	Thun	12	2	3	7	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	12	8	1	3	+10	25
2	Basel	11	5	2	4	+8	17
3	Servette	12	4	4	4	+5	16
4	Young Boys	12	4	4	4	-2	16
5	Zurich	12	4	3	5	-9	15
6	Lugano	11	4	2	5	+2	14
7	Luzern	12	4	2	6	-5	14
8	Xamax	12	2	7	3	-5	13
9	Sion	12	3	2	7	-10	11
10	Thun	12	3	1	8	-11	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.