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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
St. Gallen
T U U S T
3–1
Full-time
Basel
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Basel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 20 14 5 1 +21 47
2 Basel 21 9 5 7 +2 32
3 Zurich 22 8 5 9 +2 29
4 St. Gallen 21 7 7 7 +0 28
5 Servette 22 7 7 8 -4 28
6 Lugano 21 5 12 4 -1 27
7 Luzern 21 6 6 9 +2 24
8 Lausanne 20 6 6 8 -1 24
9 Sion 21 4 10 7 -6 22
10 Vaduz 21 4 7 10 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.