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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Zurich
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Luzern
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Super League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
59%
73%
Both score Ø 66%
55%
77%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 7. · Luzern 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 22 14 7 1 +21 49
2 Basel 23 9 6 8 +0 33
3 St. Gallen 23 8 7 8 +1 31
4 Servette 23 8 7 8 -3 31
5 Lausanne 22 8 6 8 +4 30
6 Lugano 23 6 12 5 +0 30
7 Zurich 22 8 5 9 +2 29
8 Luzern 22 6 7 9 +2 25
9 Sion 23 4 10 9 -11 22
10 Vaduz 23 5 7 11 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Luzern
4′
D. Sorgić 0–1
M. Frýdek
6′
L. Schaub 0–2
Hekuran Kryeziu 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–2
Fabian Rohner 🟨
50′
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
58′
S. Seiler 🔁
↦ H. Kryeziu
60′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ F. Rohner
60′
63′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ V. Tasar
Antonio Marchesano 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 Lucas
↦ M. Burch
Nathan 🟨
71′
1–2 A. Marchesano
W. Gnonto
78′
84′
🔁 Y. Alounga
↦ I. Ndiaye
85′
🔁 L. Emini
↦ J. Wehrmann
S. Khelifi 🔁
↦ S. Wallner
86′
88′
🟨 Pascal Schürpf
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
23 F. Rohner M
4 B. Omeragić D
42 S. Wallner D
10 A. Marchesano M
71 H. Kryeziu M
20 O. Doumbia M
9 A. Ceesay M
18 B. Kramer F
Bench (7)
33 S. Seiler
22 W. Gnonto
26 S. Khelifi
1 Ž. Kostadinović
27 M. Schönbächler
19 T. Schättin
36 F. Frei

Coach: M. Rizzo

Luzern

4-4-2
32 M. Müller G
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
46 M. Burch D
10 L. Schaub F
13 M. Frýdek D
16 V. Tasar M
3 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
11 P. Schürpf
5 Lucas
22 Y. Alounga
31 L. Emini
14 Álex Carbonell
21 A. Balaruban
1 D. Zibung

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.