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Super League
Referee: A Jaccottet
Luzern
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Basel
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,2
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
24%
65%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
47%
76%
Both score Ø 47%
41%
53%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,9
2,4
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
11 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luzern 8. · Basel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 4 2 +15 37
2 Basel 17 11 3 3 +25 36
3 St. Gallen 18 11 2 5 +17 35
4 Zurich 18 9 3 6 -9 30
5 Servette 18 7 6 5 +10 27
6 Lugano 17 5 5 7 -1 20
7 Sion 17 6 2 9 -10 20
8 Luzern 17 4 3 10 -11 15
9 Xamax 17 2 7 8 -12 13
10 Thun 18 2 3 13 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Sep -19 Basel – Luzern 3–0

Match report

Luzern Basel
1–0 P. Schürpf
10′
15′
🔁 E. Bergström
↦ O. Alderete
21′
🟨 Taulant Xhaka
Darian Males 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ F. Frei
Marius Müller 🟨
60′
Ryder Matos 🔁
↦ F. Margiotta
61′
61′
L. Zuffi 1–1
63′
🟨 Eray Cömert
63′
🟨 Arthur
2–1 P. Schürpf
64′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ P. Schürpf
72′
77′
🔁 A. Pululu
↦ V. Stocker
Ryder Matos 🟨
79′
90′
🟨 Eray Cömert
90′
🟥 Eray Cömert
L. Ćirković 🔁
↦ D. Males
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Luzern

5-3-2
32 M. Müller G
5 Lucão D
4 S. Knežević D
34 S. Sidler D
42 I. Voca M
46 M. Burch D
11 P. Schürpf D
25 D. Mistrafovic M
9 F. Margiotta F
7 I. Ndiaye F
29 D. Males M
Bench (7)
77 Ryder Matos
31 L. Emini
3 L. Ćirković
28 E. Tia
23 S. Enzler
20 S. Demhasaj
10 B. Eleke

Coach: T. Häberli

Basel

4-1-4-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
7 L. Zuffi M
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
30 E. Zhegrova M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
36 E. Bergström
11 N. Okafor
19 A. Pululu
13 Đ. Nikolić
99 K. Ademi
10 S. Campo
15 B. Riveros

Coach: M. Koller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Jaccottet · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.