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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ciochirca

SK Rapid

S T U U T

1–0

Full-time

Salzburg

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

39%

46%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

64%

Both score Ø 63%

57%

68%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 1,73

57% Possession 43%

5 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Salzburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	28	14	6	8	+12	+7.9	48
2	Salzburg	28	13	8	7	+19	+9.7	47
3	LASK	28	13	7	8	+4	+10.1	46
4	SK Rapid	28	11	8	9	+0	-0.4	41
5	Austria Vienna	28	12	4	12	-5	-0.0	40
6	Hartberg	28	9	12	7	+5	-11.4	39
7	Ried	29	11	6	12	-3	+0.1	39
8	Tirol	29	10	9	10	-6	+1.7	39
9	Altach	29	9	11	9	-2	-6.4	38
10	Wolfsberger AC	29	8	8	13	-7	-14.4	32
11	Grazer AK	29	7	9	13	-10	-2.1	30
12	BW Linz	29	8	4	17	-7	+5.4	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	14	7	6	1	+7	+1.0	27
2	LASK	14	8	3	3	+6	+9.1	27
3	Tirol	15	7	4	4	+3	+3.2	25
4	Ried	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.8	24
5	BW Linz	15	7	1	7	+8	+7.3	22
6	Salzburg	14	6	3	5	+8	+5.1	21
7	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.5	21
8	Grazer AK	14	5	6	3	+2	+1.7	21
9	SK Rapid	14	6	2	6	+0	-0.6	20
10	Sturm Graz	14	5	4	5	-2	+3.6	19
11	Austria Vienna	14	5	3	6	-6	+0.8	18
12	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	+0	-2.9	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	14	9	2	3	+14	+4.3	29
2	Salzburg	14	7	5	2	+11	+4.7	26
3	Hartberg	14	5	7	2	+5	-8.4	22
4	Austria Vienna	14	7	1	6	+1	-0.8	22
5	SK Rapid	14	5	6	3	+0	+0.2	21
6	LASK	14	5	4	5	-2	+1.0	19
7	Ried	15	4	3	8	-5	-2.7	15
8	Tirol	14	3	5	6	-9	-1.5	14
9	Altach	15	2	5	8	-9	-7.4	11
10	Wolfsberger AC	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.9	11
11	Grazer AK	15	2	3	10	-12	-3.9	9
12	BW Linz	14	1	3	10	-15	-1.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.