Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LASK
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +8 | +11.8 | 49 |
| 2 |
Sturm Graz
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +12 | +7.9 | 48 |
| 3 |
Salzburg
|
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +18 | +9.9 | 47 |
| 4 |
SK Rapid
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +1 | -0.6 | 44 |
| 5 |
Austria Vienna
|
28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | -5 | -0.0 | 40 |
| 6 |
Hartberg
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +1 | -13.1 | 39 |
| 7 |
Ried
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | +0.1 | 39 |
| 8 |
Tirol
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -6 | +1.7 | 39 |
| 9 |
Altach
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -2 | -6.4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | -14.4 | 32 |
| 11 |
Grazer AK
|
29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -10 | -2.1 | 30 |
| 12 |
BW Linz
|
29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -7 | +5.4 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sturm Graz
LASK
LASK
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Hartberg
SK Rapid
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.