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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Sturm Graz
U S U U U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
64%
Both score Ø 59%
54%
64%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 1,02
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Austria Vienna 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 LASK 29 14 7 8 +8 +11.8 49
2 Sturm Graz 28 14 6 8 +12 +7.9 48
3 Salzburg 29 13 8 8 +18 +9.9 47
4 SK Rapid 29 12 8 9 +1 -0.6 44
5 Austria Vienna 28 12 4 12 -5 -0.0 40
6 Hartberg 29 9 12 8 +1 -13.1 39
7 Ried 29 11 6 12 -3 +0.1 39
8 Tirol 29 10 9 10 -6 +1.7 39
9 Altach 29 9 11 9 -2 -6.4 38
10 Wolfsberger AC 29 8 8 13 -7 -14.4 32
11 Grazer AK 29 7 9 13 -10 -2.1 30
12 BW Linz 29 8 4 17 -7 +5.4 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.