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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
SK Rapid
S U T S S
0–2
Full-time
Salzburg
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 5. · Salzburg 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Austria Vienna 23 15 4 4 +19 49
2 Sturm Graz 23 14 5 4 +23 47
3 Salzburg 22 10 8 4 +11 38
4 Wolfsberger AC 23 11 4 8 +14 37
5 SK Rapid 22 9 7 6 +8 34
6 LASK 23 10 4 9 +1 34
7 BW Linz 23 10 3 10 -1 33
8 Hartberg 23 6 8 9 -8 26
9 A. Klagenfurt 23 6 6 11 -21 24
10 Tirol 23 4 8 11 -11 20
11 Grazer AK 23 3 8 12 -18 17
12 Altach 23 3 7 13 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Dec -24 Salzburg – SK Rapid 2–2 1. Sep -24 SK Rapid – Salzburg 3–2 5. May -24 SK Rapid – Salzburg 2–0 7. Apr -24 Salzburg – SK Rapid 1–1 9. Dec -23 SK Rapid – Salzburg 0–1

Match report

SK Rapid Salzburg
11′
🟨 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
Lukas Grgić 🟨
23′
37′
⚽ Y. Vertessen 0–1
L. Morgalla
Half-time 0–2
48′
⚽ Y. Vertessen 0–2
A. Terzić
N. Bischof 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
57′
E. Kara 🔁
↦ D. Beljo
69′
M. Oswald 🔁
↦ L. Grgić
69′
A. Radulović 🔁
↦ L. Schaub
69′
75′
🟨 Nicolás Capaldo
Jonas Antonius Auer 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ Y. Vertessen
Nenad Cvetković 🟨
89′
Ercan Kara 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Samson Baidoo
91′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ K. Onisiwo
92′
🔁 E. Baidoo
↦ M. Yeo
96′
🔁 D. Guindo
↦ D. Nene
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-2-2
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetković D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
23 J. Auer D
8 L. Grgić M
17 M. Sangaré M
21 L. Schaub M
18 M. Seidl M
7 D. Beljo F
22 I. Jansson F
Bench (7)
27 N. Bischof
99 E. Kara
28 M. Oswald
49 A. Radulović
20 A. Ahoussou
25 P. Gartler
16 T. Børkeeiet

Coach: R. Klauß

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 J. Blaswich G
39 L. Morgalla D
23 J. Gadou D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
7 N. Capaldo M
18 M. Bidstrup M
45 D. Nene M
49 M. Yeo M
11 Y. Vertessen F
9 K. Onisiwo F
Bench (7)
15 M. Diambou
20 E. Baidoo
21 P. Ratkov
29 D. Guindo
2 M. Caufriez
92 S. Hamzić
10 B. Clark

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.