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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Mechelen

S U T T T

1–4

Full-time

St Truiden

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 50%

42%

58%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

38%

46%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

46%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,27 xG 1,08

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 6. · St Truiden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	25	20	1	4	+29	+15.4	61
2	St. Gilloise	24	16	8	0	+29	+23.6	56
3	St Truiden	24	14	3	7	+12	+15.5	45
4	Genk	24	10	8	6	+6	+10.4	38
5	Gent	24	11	5	8	+4	+0.9	38
6	Mechelen	24	10	8	6	+4	-9.8	38
7	Cercle Brugge	28	10	7	11	+2	+2.7	37
8	Antwerp	25	10	5	10	+5	+0.3	35
9	Anderlecht	24	9	6	9	+2	+2.3	33
10	Westerlo	25	8	7	10	-5	-1.7	31
11	Waregem	27	9	4	14	-7	-5.9	31
12	Standard	25	8	6	11	-12	-12.0	30
13	Charleroi	25	7	5	13	-6	-3.1	26
14	RAAL La Louviere	27	4	10	13	-15	-9.7	22
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	25	5	7	13	-17	-9.6	22
16	Dender	28	3	6	19	-31	-19.3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	12	1	0	+23	+13.4	37
2	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+15	+7.5	28
3	St Truiden	12	8	0	4	+3	+7.2	24
4	Gent	12	6	2	4	+6	-1.0	20
5	Genk	13	5	5	3	+4	+9.8	20
6	Antwerp	12	5	3	4	+3	+1.4	18
7	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
8	Anderlecht	11	4	4	3	+7	+6.3	16
9	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.6	16
10	Westerlo	13	4	3	6	-2	-1.2	15
11	Charleroi	12	3	3	6	-3	-0.7	12
12	Cercle Brugge	14	3	3	8	-6	+0.4	12
13	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	6	6	-7	-2.5	12
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	4	7	-6	-3.2	10
15	Standard	12	1	5	6	-9	-2.9	8
16	Dender	14	1	2	11	-20	-9.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	11	0	2	+14	+7.9	33
2	Cercle Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	+2.2	25
3	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+3	-7.2	22
4	Standard	13	7	1	5	-3	-9.1	22
5	St Truiden	12	6	3	3	+9	+8.2	21
6	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
7	Genk	11	5	3	3	+2	+0.6	18
8	Gent	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
9	Antwerp	13	5	2	6	+2	-1.1	17
10	Anderlecht	13	5	2	6	-5	-3.9	17
11	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.5	16
12	Charleroi	13	4	2	7	-3	-2.4	14
13	Waregem	14	4	2	8	-6	-5.2	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-11	-6.3	12
15	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
16	Dender	14	2	4	8	-11	-9.4	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.