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Superligaen
Referee: M Tykgaard
Viborg
U T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
43%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
54%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,42 xG 0,72
36% Possession 64%
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 7. · Nordsjaelland 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 28 16 9 3 +37 +7.7 57
2 Aarhus 28 16 9 3 +23 +21.3 57
3 Nordsjaelland 28 14 3 11 +3 +0.0 45
4 FC Copenhagen 28 12 5 11 +11 +20.4 41
5 Brondby 29 12 5 12 +10 +10.2 41
6 Sonderjyske 29 11 8 10 -2 -5.1 41
7 Viborg 28 12 4 12 +2 -4.3 40
8 Odense 29 11 7 11 -7 +3.6 40
9 Silkeborg 29 9 6 14 -20 -19.5 33
10 Randers FC 29 8 7 14 -10 +6.2 31
11 Fredericia 29 8 6 15 -24 -24.5 30
12 Vejle 28 3 9 16 -23 -15.9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Nordsjaelland
1–0 S. Kuzmic
10′
37′
🟨 Peter Ankersen
Jeppe Grønning 🟨
39′
A. Beck 🔁
↦ M. Sondergaard
39′
Half-time 1–0
Asker Beck ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
52′
61′
🔁 I. Adel
↦ P. Amoako
61′
🔁 M. Heyde
↦ R. Norheim
61′
🔁 L. Nene
↦ L. Sadio
66′
🟨 Ibrahim Adel
71′
🔁 H. Rasmussen
↦ M. Brink
Srđan Kuzmić 🟨
75′
Z. Zaletel 🔁
↦ C. Nouck
82′
O. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ S. Kuzmic
82′
M. Hoedemakers 🔁
↦ T. Jorgensen
82′
84′
🔁 S. Acquah
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Viborg

4-2-2-2
1 L. Lund G
26 H. Bidstrup D
32 L. Kirkegaard D
24 D. Anyembe D
30 S. Kuzmic D
10 T. Jorgensen M
13 J. Gronning M
29 S. Jalal M
6 M. Sondergaard M
11 C. Nouck F
19 D. Hanza F
Bench (9)
16 F. Djukic
5 Z. Zaletel
23 O. Bundgaard
8 A. Beck
17 O. Addo
4 M. Hoedemakers
18 J. Mbom
9 T. Freriks
21 B. Brahimi

Coach: Nickolai Lund

Nordsjaelland

3-4-2-1
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
36 C. Yirenkyi D
25 J. Lahteenmaki M
18 J. Janssen M
6 M. Brink M
23 R. Norheim M
37 L. Sadio F
10 P. Amoako F
11 A. Lind F
Bench (9)
22 A. Gulstorff Pedersen
14 I. Adel
32 V. Gustafsen
40 H. Rasmussen
29 V. Berthelsen
45 N. Markmann
47 M. Heyde
15 S. Acquah
17 L. Nene

Coach: Jens Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Tykgaard · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.