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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Hartberg

U U T T U

2–2

Full-time

SK Rapid

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

31%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

42%

38%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,35 xG 1,61

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hartberg 8. · SK Rapid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	26	14	4	8	+12	+9.2	46
2	LASK	26	13	5	8	+4	+8.7	44
3	Salzburg	26	11	8	7	+15	+9.3	41
4	SK Rapid	26	11	7	8	+2	-3.5	40
5	Austria Vienna	26	12	4	10	-1	+0.4	40
6	Altach	27	9	10	8	+1	-5.9	37
7	Ried	27	10	6	11	-3	-1.6	36
8	Hartberg	26	8	11	7	+3	-8.3	35
9	Tirol	27	9	8	10	-7	+1.7	35
10	Grazer AK	27	7	9	11	-8	-0.4	30
11	Wolfsberger AC	27	7	8	12	-5	-12.9	29
12	BW Linz	27	6	4	17	-13	+3.1	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	13	7	5	1	+7	+0.8	26
2	LASK	13	8	2	3	+6	+6.7	26
3	Tirol	14	6	4	4	+2	+3.2	22
4	Grazer AK	14	5	6	3	+2	+1.7	21
5	Ried	13	6	3	4	+1	+1.1	21
6	SK Rapid	13	6	2	5	+2	-2.4	20
7	Salzburg	13	5	3	5	+6	+4.3	18
8	Wolfsberger AC	14	4	6	4	+2	-3.6	18
9	Sturm Graz	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.6	18
10	Austria Vienna	13	5	3	5	-4	+0.4	18
11	BW Linz	13	5	1	7	+2	+5.0	16
12	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	+0	-1.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	13	9	1	3	+14	+6.7	28
2	Salzburg	13	6	5	2	+9	+5.0	23
3	Austria Vienna	13	7	1	5	+3	-0.1	22
4	SK Rapid	13	5	5	3	+0	-1.1	20
5	Hartberg	13	4	7	2	+3	-6.6	19
6	LASK	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.1	18
7	Ried	14	4	3	7	-4	-2.6	15
8	Tirol	13	3	4	6	-9	-1.4	13
9	Altach	14	2	5	7	-6	-6.7	11
10	Wolfsberger AC	13	3	2	8	-7	-9.4	11
11	Grazer AK	13	2	3	8	-10	-2.1	9
12	BW Linz	14	1	3	10	-15	-1.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.