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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

Larisa

U T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Panserraikos

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Panserraikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 18%

16%

19%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

41%

56%

Both score Ø 49%

56%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,47 xG 0,34

69% Possession 31%

11 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Larisa 13. · Panserraikos 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	30	21	7	2	+37	+11.3	70
2	Olympiakos	30	19	8	3	+36	+13.1	65
3	PAOK	30	18	8	4	+34	+5.5	62
4	Panathinaikos	30	15	9	6	+18	+7.5	54
5	Levadeiakos	31	12	10	9	+12	-8.4	46
6	OFI Crete	30	13	3	14	-4	-6.9	42
7	Atromitos	33	10	11	12	+1	+1.1	41
8	Aris Thessalonikis	28	7	13	8	-6	-1.4	34
9	Aris	28	7	13	8	-6	–	34
10	Panetolikos	33	9	7	17	-14	-5.3	34
11	Volos NFC	31	9	6	16	-16	+1.4	33
12	Kifisia	33	6	14	13	-12	+0.8	32
13	Larisa	32	5	12	15	-21	-6.8	27
14	Asteras Tripolis	33	5	11	17	-18	-5.1	26
15	Panserraikos	32	6	8	18	-41	-6.7	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	15	13	1	1	+24	+7.6	40
2	PAOK	15	12	3	0	+26	+4.8	39
3	Olympiakos	15	10	3	2	+19	+4.9	33
4	Panathinaikos	15	9	4	2	+15	+2.8	31
5	Levadeiakos	16	8	5	3	+17	-3.6	29
6	OFI Crete	15	8	0	7	+8	-2.7	24
7	Volos NFC	15	5	6	4	-3	+4.3	21
8	Aris Thessalonikis	14	3	9	2	+0	+4.0	18
9	Aris	14	3	9	2	+0	–	18
10	Atromitos	17	4	6	7	-3	+1.0	18
11	Kifisia	17	4	6	7	-3	+2.9	18
12	Asteras Tripolis	16	4	5	7	-1	-1.0	17
13	Larisa	16	3	7	6	-9	-0.4	16
14	Panetolikos	16	4	2	10	-10	+0.7	14
15	Panserraikos	16	3	4	9	-20	-5.2	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	9	5	1	+17	+8.1	32
2	AEK	15	8	6	1	+13	+3.7	30
3	PAOK	15	6	5	4	+8	+0.6	23
4	Atromitos	16	6	5	5	+4	+0.1	23
5	Panathinaikos	15	6	5	4	+3	+4.7	23
6	Panetolikos	17	5	5	7	-4	-6.0	20
7	OFI Crete	15	5	3	7	-12	-4.2	18
8	Levadeiakos	15	4	5	6	-5	-4.9	17
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	4	4	6	-6	-5.3	16
10	Aris	14	4	4	6	-6	–	16
11	Kifisia	16	2	8	6	-9	-2.1	14
12	Panserraikos	16	3	4	9	-21	-1.5	13
13	Volos NFC	16	4	0	12	-13	-2.9	12
14	Larisa	16	2	5	9	-12	-6.4	11
15	Asteras Tripolis	17	1	6	10	-17	-4.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.