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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ciochirca

Salzburg

U T T U S

2–3

Full-time

LASK

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg LASK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

4,2

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

44%

48%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

64%

52%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,94 xG 1,79

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 2. · LASK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	25	14	3	8	+12	+8.6	45
2	Salzburg	25	11	8	6	+16	+10.2	41
3	LASK	25	12	5	8	+3	+7.9	41
4	SK Rapid	25	11	6	8	+2	-3.8	39
5	Austria Vienna	25	12	3	10	-1	+0.7	39
6	Hartberg	25	8	10	7	+3	-7.7	34
7	Tirol	25	9	7	9	-2	+4.1	34
8	Ried	25	10	4	11	-3	-3.4	34
9	Altach	25	8	9	8	+0	-6.3	33
10	Grazer AK	25	7	8	10	-7	+2.1	29
11	Wolfsberger AC	25	7	6	12	-5	-11.9	27
12	BW Linz	25	5	3	17	-18	-0.5	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	13	8	2	3	+6	+6.7	26
2	Altach	12	6	5	1	+6	-0.2	23
3	Tirol	13	6	3	4	+2	+2.6	21
4	Ried	13	6	3	4	+1	+1.1	21
5	Grazer AK	13	5	5	3	+2	+3.2	20
6	SK Rapid	13	6	2	5	+2	-2.4	20
7	Salzburg	12	5	3	4	+7	+5.2	18
8	Sturm Graz	12	5	2	5	-2	+1.9	17
9	Austria Vienna	12	5	2	5	-4	+0.8	17
10	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	4	4	+2	-2.6	16
11	Hartberg	13	4	4	5	+0	-1.7	16
12	BW Linz	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.1	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	13	9	1	3	+14	+6.7	28
2	Salzburg	13	6	5	2	+9	+5.0	23
3	Austria Vienna	13	7	1	5	+3	-0.1	22
4	SK Rapid	12	5	4	3	+0	-1.4	19
5	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
6	LASK	12	4	3	5	-3	+1.2	15
7	Ried	12	4	1	7	-4	-4.5	13
8	Tirol	12	3	4	5	-4	+1.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	13	3	2	8	-7	-9.4	11
10	Altach	13	2	4	7	-6	-6.1	10
11	Grazer AK	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.1	9
12	BW Linz	13	1	2	10	-15	-2.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.