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Allsvenskan
Referee: Fredrik Klitte
Goteborg
T T T U U
2–2
Full-time
GAIS
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg GAIS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,79 xG 0,85
38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 14. · GAIS 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 4 4 0 0 +9 +5.1 12
2 Elfsborg 4 3 1 0 +4 +1.8 10
3 Hammarby 5 2 2 1 +8 +3.0 8
4 Hacken 4 2 2 0 +3 +0.8 8
5 Malmo FF 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 AIK 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.4 7
7 Djurgarden 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.1 7
8 Degerfors 4 2 0 2 +0 +0.2 6
9 Vasteras SK 4 1 2 1 -2 -4.2 5
10 Brommapojkarna 4 1 2 1 -2 +0.2 5
11 Mjallby 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.4 4
12 Orgryte 4 1 1 2 -6 -3.7 4
13 Halmstad 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.4 2
14 Goteborg 4 0 2 2 -4 -0.9 2
15 Kalmar 4 0 1 3 -3 1
16 GAIS 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg GAIS
David Kruse 🟨
15′
1–0 R. Yeboah
D. Kruse
25′
32′
🟨 Matteo de Brienne
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Beckman
↦ O. Agren
46′
🔁 M. Andersson
↦ B. Asumang
46′
🔁 R. Wendin Thomasson
↦ M. de Brienne
63′
M. Andersson 1–1
Rockson Yeboah 🟨
64′
69′
W. Milovanovic 1–2
J. Fagerjord
70′
🟨 William Milovanovic
2–2 D. Kruse
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
72′
B. Brantlind 🔁
↦ S. Alioum
78′
79′
🔁 M. Bawa
↦ R. Niklasson
T. Coimbra 🔁
↦ M. Fenger
84′
N. Tolf 🔁
↦ F. Eriksson
84′
93′
🔁 A. Cardaklija
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Goteborg

5-3-2
25 E. Bishesari G
17 A. Jallow D
4 R. Yeboah D
3 A. Erlingmark D
5 J. Bager D
18 F. Eriksson D
11 S. Alioum M
15 D. Kruse M
14 T. Heintz M
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg F
9 M. Fenger F
Bench (9)
34 F. Andersson
8 I. Jagne
27 A. Boren
16 F. Ottosson
30 T. Coimbra
7 S. Clemmensen
22 N. Tolf
26 B. Brantlind
24 O. Mansson

Coach: Stefan Billborn

GAIS

4-3-3
33 A. Hermansen
6 A. Wangberg D
12 R. Frej D
4 O. Agren D
2 M. de Brienne D
8 W. Milovanovic M
7 J. Fagerjord M
17 R. Thorkelsson M
26 B. Asumang F
20 S. Salter F
11 R. Niklasson F
Bench (9)
13 K. Sims
25 J. Lindberg
22 A. Cardaklija
24 F. Beckman
28 L. Hedlund
32 O. Pettersson
16 M. Andersson
5 R. Wendin Thomasson
27 M. Bawa

Coach: Fredrik Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fredrik Klitte · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.