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LaLiga2
Referee: D Arcediano
Huesca
T U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
44%
36%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Huesca 21. · Zaragoza 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 36 21 5 10 +20 -1.1 68
2 Almeria 37 20 7 10 +18 +1.6 67
3 La Coruna 37 18 11 8 +17 +1.2 65
4 Castellon 37 18 10 9 +18 +6.0 64
5 Eibar 37 17 10 10 +13 +6.4 61
6 Burgos 37 17 10 10 +11 +5.3 61
7 Las Palmas 36 16 12 8 +17 +2.4 60
8 Malaga 37 17 9 11 +15 +6.3 60
9 Cordoba 37 15 9 13 -3 +4.0 54
10 Andorra 36 14 10 12 +5 +2.0 52
11 Sp Gijon 37 15 7 15 +3 +2.3 52
12 Ceuta 36 14 8 14 -13 -14.8 50
13 Albacete 37 12 11 14 -3 +2.0 47
14 Granada 37 11 12 14 -2 +0.7 45
15 Valladolid 37 11 10 16 -8 +2.2 43
16 Leganes 36 10 12 14 +0 +3.1 42
17 Sociedad B 37 11 8 18 -8 -9.3 41
18 Cadiz 36 10 8 18 -18 -7.4 38
19 Mirandes 37 9 9 19 -20 -4.5 36
20 Zaragoza 36 8 11 17 -16 +2.9 35
21 Huesca 36 8 9 19 -19 -0.4 33
22 Cultural Leonesa 37 8 8 21 -27 -10.8 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Zaragoza
Oscar Sielva
penalty missed
6′
44′
🟨 Pablo Insua
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 K. Kodro
↦ M. A. Cuenca
62′
🟨 Juan Larios
64′
🟨 Esteban Andrada
1–0 O. Sielva
65′
Toni Abad 🟨
67′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ O. Sielva
71′
E. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ S. Enrich
71′
A. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Toni Abad
71′
74′
🔁 R. Guti
↦ M. Mensah
74′
🔁 D. Tasende
↦ J. Larios
M. Agbekpornu 🔁
↦ Pina
78′
L. Beltran 🔁
↦ R. Abajas
82′
85′
🔁 H. Pinilla
↦ D. Gomez
85′
🔁 T. Moya
↦ Y. Saidu
Javi Mier 🟨
86′
94′
🟨 Jawad El Yamiq
98′
🟨 Esteban Andrada
98′
🟥 Esteban Andrada
98′
ℹ️ Dani Tasende
VAR: Card upgrade
Dani Jiménez 🟥
103′
Dani Jiménez ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
103′
103′
🟥 Dani Tasende
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Huesca

4-2-3-1
13 D. Jimenez G
2 Toni Abad D
5 Pina D
14 J. Pulido D
3 R. Abajas D
16 J. Alvarez M
23 O. Sielva M
33 D. Luna M
6 J. Mier M
20 F. Portillo M
9 S. Enrich F
Bench (12)
30 D. Martin
10 J. Seoane
11 L. Beltran
8 J. Martin
7 J. Escobar
22 M. Agbekpornu
18 E. Rodriguez
24 E. Aghama
19 I. Laquintana
15 A. Cantero
4 A. Carrillo
34 M. Aznar

Coach: Luis Oltra Castaner Jose

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
4 P. Insua D
18 J. El Yamiq D
27 J. Larios D
26 M. Mensah M
33 Y. Saidu M
14 Francho M
11 R. Gonzalez M
23 M. A. Cuenca M
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
17 F. Moyano
19 K. Kodro
31 H. Pinilla
10 R. Guti
8 T. Moya
15 C. Pomares
16 A. Radovanovic
25 N. Cumic
7 M. Soberon
2 J. Sebastian
3 D. Tasende

Coach: David Navarro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
2,95
B
2,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Arcediano · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.