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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Stofringshaug
Stabaek
T T T S U
3–2
Full-time
Haugesund
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
2,3
3,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 8. · Haugesund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odd 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Kongsvinger 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Haugesund 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Ranheim 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Egersund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Stromsgodset 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Moss 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Stabaek 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Strommen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Lyn 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Sandnes ULF 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 hodd 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Sogndal 4 1 0 3 -8 3
14 Bryne 4 0 0 4 -6 0
15 Raufoss 2 0 0 2 -6 0
16 Asane 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Haugesund
6′
🟨 R. Moller
15′
🔁 F. Stople
↦ E. Fauskanger
20′
🟨 S. Diarra
1–0 M. Dahlby
S. Olderheim
21′
22′
🟨 S. Nilsen
27′
S. Diarra 1–1
33′
🔁 P. Bizoza
↦ M. Koskela
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 B. Leite
↦ I. Camara
W. Wendt 🟨
49′
2–1 S. Olderheim
N. Naess
54′
O. Solnordal 🟨
60′
A. Matic 🔁
↦ B. Tobiassen
64′
A. Sanyang 🔁
↦ S. Olderheim
67′
71′
🟨 B. Leite
78′
🔁 S. Molde
↦ N. Sandberg
79′
🔁 E. Andersen
↦ L. Remmem
J. Skjelvik 🔁
↦ M. Dahlby
80′
A. Hoven 🔁
↦ F. Riise
80′
90′
P. Bizoza 2–2
V. Solheim
3–2 A. Matic
W. Wendt
90′
92′
🟨 A. Bondhus
A. Matic 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

22 M. Ulla
2 F. Riise
4 N. Naess
15 O. Veum
29 K. Ekorness
28 B. Tobiassen
7 O. Solnordal
23 W. Wendt
24 J. Hanstad
8 M. Dahlby
10 S. Olderheim
Bench (9)
1 K. Lokkevik
5 J. Skjelvik
6 A. Matic
9 A. Sanyang
16 A. Hoven
18 O. Oppedal
21 K. Onsrud
27 M. Hansen
33 A. Aamodt

Coach: Andre Kjell

Haugesund

21 E. Fauskanger
18 V. Solheim
4 M. Koskela
5 R. Moller
42 A. Bondhus
8 P. Hannola
14 S. Nilsen
41 L. Remmem
30 I. Camara
29 S. Diarra
11 N. Sandberg
Bench (7)
3 S. Molde
6 P. Bizoza
16 B. Leite
20 I. Seone
26 E. Andersen
32 F. Stople
40 A. Grindhaug

Coach: Oyvind Hompland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.