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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

SK Rapid

S S T U U

0–2

Full-time

Hartberg

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 36%

41%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

41%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

52%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,31 xG 0,52

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Hartberg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	27	14	5	8	+12	+6.8	47
2	LASK	27	13	6	8	+4	+11.1	45
3	Salzburg	27	12	8	7	+17	+9.0	44
4	SK Rapid	27	11	8	8	+2	-2.2	41
5	Austria Vienna	27	12	4	11	-3	+0.7	40
6	Ried	28	11	6	11	-2	+0.1	39
7	Altach	28	9	11	8	+1	-5.7	38
8	Hartberg	27	8	12	7	+3	-9.6	36
9	Tirol	28	9	9	10	-7	+1.6	36
10	Grazer AK	28	7	9	12	-9	-2.1	30
11	Wolfsberger AC	28	7	8	13	-8	-14.5	29
12	BW Linz	28	7	4	17	-10	+4.7	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	14	7	6	1	+7	+1.0	27
2	LASK	14	8	3	3	+6	+9.1	27
3	Ried	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.8	24
4	Tirol	14	6	4	4	+2	+3.2	22
5	Grazer AK	14	5	6	3	+2	+1.7	21
6	SK Rapid	13	6	2	5	+2	-2.4	20
7	BW Linz	14	6	1	7	+5	+6.6	19
8	Salzburg	13	5	3	5	+6	+4.3	18
9	Wolfsberger AC	14	4	6	4	+2	-3.6	18
10	Sturm Graz	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.6	18
11	Austria Vienna	14	5	3	6	-6	+0.8	18
12	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	+0	-2.9	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	14	9	2	3	+14	+4.3	29
2	Salzburg	14	7	5	2	+11	+4.7	26
3	Austria Vienna	13	7	1	5	+3	-0.1	22
4	SK Rapid	14	5	6	3	+0	+0.2	21
5	Hartberg	13	4	7	2	+3	-6.6	19
6	LASK	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.1	18
7	Ried	14	4	3	7	-4	-2.6	15
8	Tirol	14	3	5	6	-9	-1.5	14
9	Altach	14	2	5	7	-6	-6.7	11
10	Wolfsberger AC	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.9	11
11	Grazer AK	14	2	3	9	-11	-3.8	9
12	BW Linz	14	1	3	10	-15	-1.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.