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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Servette

S T S S U

5–3

Full-time

Winterthur

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 20%

27%

12%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

64%

76%

Both score Ø 70%

73%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,7

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

3,78 xG 0,82

48% Possession 52%

23 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 9. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	34	24	2	8	+37	+5.6	74
2	St. Gallen	33	17	9	7	+24	+11.4	60
3	Lugano	34	17	9	8	+13	-0.4	60
4	Sion	34	14	13	7	+18	+14.6	55
5	Basel	34	15	8	11	+4	+10.7	53
6	Young Boys	33	13	9	11	+5	-2.2	48
7	Luzern	34	11	10	13	+4	+2.5	43
8	Lausanne	34	11	9	14	-7	+1.7	42
9	Servette	33	9	13	11	+0	+6.6	40
10	Zurich	34	10	4	20	-21	-9.2	34
11	Grasshoppers	34	6	9	19	-26	-19.1	27
12	Winterthur	33	4	7	22	-51	-22.3	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	2	4	+21	+2.2	38
2	Lugano	16	10	3	3	+12	-0.8	33
3	St. Gallen	17	10	2	5	+13	+13.8	32
4	Sion	17	8	6	3	+13	+8.1	30
5	Young Boys	16	8	4	4	+16	+9.8	28
6	Basel	17	7	6	4	+8	+18.0	27
7	Lausanne	17	6	5	6	+4	+10.7	23
8	Servette	17	5	7	5	+4	+4.0	22
9	Zurich	17	6	1	10	-6	-0.3	19
10	Luzern	17	4	6	7	+3	+4.9	18
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	5	9	-7	-7.0	14
12	Winterthur	16	2	4	10	-18	-3.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	12	0	4	+16	+3.4	36
2	St. Gallen	16	7	7	2	+11	-2.4	28
3	Lugano	18	7	6	5	+1	+0.4	27
4	Basel	17	8	2	7	-4	-7.2	26
5	Sion	17	6	7	4	+5	+6.5	25
6	Luzern	17	7	4	6	+1	-2.4	25
7	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-11	-12.0	20
8	Lausanne	17	5	4	8	-11	-9.0	19
9	Servette	16	4	6	6	-4	+2.6	18
10	Zurich	17	4	3	10	-15	-8.9	15
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	4	10	-19	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	17	2	3	12	-33	-18.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.