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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
Salzburg
U T S T S
4–2
Full-time
SK Rapid
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 44%
48%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 5. · SK Rapid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 31 19 5 7 +27 62
2 Austria Vienna 31 18 5 8 +15 59
3 Wolfsberger AC 31 16 6 9 +22 54
4 LASK 32 16 6 10 +15 54
5 Salzburg 31 15 9 7 +15 54
6 SK Rapid 31 12 8 11 +3 44
7 Hartberg 32 11 11 10 +0 44
8 BW Linz 31 11 4 16 -8 37
9 Tirol 32 7 9 16 -15 30
10 Grazer AK 32 5 13 14 -20 28
11 A. Klagenfurt 32 6 9 17 -37 27
12 Altach 32 5 11 16 -17 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg SK Rapid
1–0 O. Gloukh
P. Ratkov
8′
2–0 D. Nene
P. Ratkov
11′
19′
A. Radulović 2–1
3–1 E. Baidoo
D. Nene
24′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 N. Cvetković
↦ D. Beljo
4–1 D. Nene
P. Ratkov
56′
63′
G. Burgstaller 4–2
D. Vincze
64′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ N. Wurmbrand
64′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ A. Radulović
64′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ G. Burgstaller
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
68′
A. Daghim 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
69′
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
69′
73′
🟨 Dominic Vincze
J. Schuster 🔁
↦ J. Mellberg
77′
84′
🔁 B. Böckle
↦ D. Vincze
V. Sulzbacher 🔁
↦ T. Trummer
89′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
24 A. Schlager G
37 T. Trummer D
23 J. Gadou D
6 S. Baidoo D
36 J. Mellberg D
18 M. Bidstrup M
16 T. Kawamura M
45 D. Nene M
30 O. Gloukh M
20 E. Baidoo F
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (7)
9 K. Onisiwo
28 A. Daghim
11 Y. Vertessen
44 J. Schuster
38 V. Sulzbacher
43 L. Traoré
1 J. Blaswich

Coach: T. Letsch

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
20 A. Ahoussou D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
53 D. Vincze D
29 R. Amané M
18 M. Seidl M
49 A. Radulović M
7 D. Beljo M
48 N. Wurmbrand M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
55 N. Cvetković
22 I. Jansson
21 L. Schaub
99 E. Kara
3 B. Böckle
5 R. Kerschbaum
25 P. Gartler

Coach: S. Kulovits

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.