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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
Sonderjyske
T U T T T
3–0
Full-time
Brondby
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,34 xG 1,84
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 8. · Brondby 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 28 16 9 3 +37 +7.7 57
2 Aarhus 28 16 9 3 +23 +21.3 57
3 Nordsjaelland 28 14 3 11 +3 +0.0 45
4 Brondby 28 12 5 11 +13 +9.7 41
5 FC Copenhagen 28 12 5 11 +11 +20.4 41
6 Viborg 28 12 4 12 +2 -4.3 40
7 Odense 29 11 7 11 -7 +3.6 40
8 Sonderjyske 28 10 8 10 -5 -4.6 38
9 Silkeborg 29 9 6 14 -20 -19.5 33
10 Randers FC 29 8 7 14 -10 +6.2 31
11 Fredericia 29 8 6 15 -24 -24.5 30
12 Vejle 28 3 9 16 -23 -15.9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1
1 N. Flo G
22 A. Oggesen D
12 M. Soulas D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
23 G. Duru D
6 R. Vinderslev M
26 T. Sommer M
7 S. Emini M
31 M. Cherif M
24 O. Hyseni M
9 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
27 B. Pena
3 S. Waever
29 A. Rrahmani
15 L. Qamili
20 T. Klysner
11 A. Lyng
28 A. Pedersen
17 A. Hoeg
19 P. Kristensen

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Brondby

3-4-3
1 P. Pentz G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
14 B. Godfrey D
4 L. Binks D
19 S. Fukuda M
42 M. Jensen M
10 D. Wass M
27 M. Kohlert M
29 M. Frokjaer-Jensen F
38 J. Ambaek F
7 N. Vallys F
Bench (9)
13 G. Beavers
5 R. Lauritsen
36 V. Poulsen
22 O. Sow
17 E. Dennis
24 M. Divkovic
2 O. Villadsen
43 A. Al Najar
37 R. Canut

Coach: Steven Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.