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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Ham-Kam

T S T T S

2–1

Full-time

Start

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

100%

20%

Both score Ø 78%

75%

80%

Average goals

4,5

2,4

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

2,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,16 xG 0,77

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ham-Kam 9. · Start 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	5	1	0	+10	+8.0	16
2	Viking	6	5	0	1	+10	+7.2	15
3	Lillestrom	5	4	1	0	+7	+2.9	13
4	Molde	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.1	10
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+1	+3.6	7
6	Sandefjord	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
7	Fredrikstad	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.8	7
8	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.4	7
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.9	6
10	Kristiansund	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.4	6
11	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.9	5
12	Rosenborg	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.3	5
13	Brann	6	1	1	4	+0	+1.1	4
14	KFUM Oslo	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.2	4
15	Start	5	0	3	2	-4	-2.0	3
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-6	-7.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+8	+7.5	10
2	Viking	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.9	9
3	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
4	Ham-Kam	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
5	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.3	6
6	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
7	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
8	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
9	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
10	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
12	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
3	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
4	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
5	Brann	4	1	1	2	+2	+0.3	4
6	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.6	4
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.3	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.4	3
10	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.0	1
11	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
12	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
13	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
14	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
15	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.